World News
How long Britain could really fight for if war broke out tomorrow
Frank GardnerSecurity correspondent
Getty ImagesRussia’s full-scale war on Ukraine will soon enter its fifth year. Mysterious incidents of so-called “hybrid warfare” are mounting in Europe, increasing tensions. And in the UK, military chiefs have warned we must prepare for war if we want to avoid it. But if the unthinkable happened, and war with Russia broke out, could the UK fight for more than just a few weeks?
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“We are not planning to go to war with Europe. But if Europe wants to, and starts, we are ready right now.” So said Russian President Vladimir Putin on 2 December, accusing European countries of hindering US efforts to bring peace in Ukraine.
To be clear, it is extremely unlikely that the UK would ever find itself in a war with Russia on its own, unsupported by Nato allies.
But Putin’s words were an uncomfortable reminder that a war between Russia and Nato countries, including the UK, was not as remote as people hoped.
How war could look in the tech-age
“Well that’s odd. I’ve got no signal on my phone.” “Me neither. I’m offline. What’s going on?” That scenario, hypothetically, is just one way we could know that a war with Russia had begun, or was about to. (I should add that there can also be other, perfectly benign, reasons for a loss of signal.)
That signal interruption could be followed by an inability to make bank payments for essentials like food and fuel.
Food distribution would be disrupted, electricity supplies compromised.
AFP via Getty ImagesThere are many ways of fighting a war, and not just the physically destructive wave of drones, bombs and missiles so tragically familiar to the citizens of Ukraine.
Our modern, tech-driven society is highly dependent on the network of undersea cables and pipelines that connect the UK to the rest of the world, carrying data, financial transactions and energy.
Covert activity by Russian spy vessels, such as the Yantar, is widely believed to have scoped out these cables for potential sabotage in a time of war, which is why the Royal Navy has recently invested in a fleet of underwater drones equipped with integrated sensors.
In a war, these hidden, unseen actions, combined with an almost inevitable attempt to “blind” Western satellites in space, would seriously hamper the UK’s ability to fight, as well as potentially wreaking havoc on civil society.
Getty ImagesAt a recent conference in London entitled Fighting the Long War, organised by the Royal United Services Institute (Rusi), a Whitehall think tank, military and political figures came together to discuss whether the UK’s current armed forces would be in a position to sustain a protracted conflict before they ran out of everything from troops, to ammunition to spare parts.
“There remains little evidence that the UK has a plan to fight a war lasting more than a few weeks,” argues Rusi’s Hamish Mundell. “Medical capacity is limited. Reserve regeneration pipelines are slow… The British plan for mass casualty outcomes appears to be based on not taking casualties.”
With classic British understatement, he says: “This could be considered an optimistic planning assumption.”
He adds that to fight a long war you need proper back-up. “It demands a second and even third echelon; personnel, platforms and logistics chains that can absorb losses and continue the fight. Yet this depth is notably absent from current British force design.”
Russia’s ‘low quality’ army
“There are shortfalls in ammunition, artillery, vehicles, air defence, and people, with limited to no ability to regenerate units or casualties,” says Justin Crump, CEO of Sibylline, a private intelligence company.
Two of the biggest military lessons to come out of the Ukraine war are firstly, that drones are now integral to modern warfare, at every level, and secondly, that “mass”, or sheer volume of personnel and military hardware, matters.
Getty ImagesRussia’s army is generally of a very low quality. Its soldiers are poorly equipped, poorly led and poorly fed. Their life expectancy in the deadly “drone zone” of eastern Ukraine is short.
UK Defence Intelligence estimates that since the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022 Russia’s army has suffered more than 1.1 million casualties – that is killed, wounded, captured or missing.
Even conservative estimates put the number of Russians killed at 150,000. Ukraine has also suffered catastrophic casualties but numbers are hard to ascertain.
But Russia has been able to draw on such a massive pool of manpower that it has so far been able to replace its estimated 30,000 monthly battlefield casualties with fresh blood.
Russia’s economy has also been on a war footing for more than three years now: an economist has been placed in charge of the Defence Ministry, while its factories churn out ever more supplies of drones, missiles and artillery shells.
According to a recent report by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Russia has been producing each month around 150 tanks, 550 infantry fighting vehicles, 120 Lancet drones and more than 50 artillery pieces.
The UK, and most of its Western allies, are simply not anywhere near this point.
EPA/ShutterstockAnalysts say it would take years for Western Europe’s factories to come close to matching Russia’s mass-production of weapons.
“The land war in Ukraine has shown beyond doubt that mass is absolutely vital for anybody that is going to face Russia on land,” says Keir Giles, a Russia expert at Chatham House think tank.
“And having deep reserves vastly greater in number than the standing regular armed forces has been shown to be essential.”
How national service conversations backfired
France and Germany have both recently moved to revive a system of voluntary military service for 18-year-olds.
The UK’s former Head of the Army, Gen Sir Patrick Sanders, suggested in 2024, the year he retired, that the UK should train what he called “a citizen army” to fight a land war in the future. The idea was shot down by No. 10.
“I think it’s a cultural thing within the UK,” says Ed Arnold, senior research fellow at Rusi.
“So if you look at the states that are now looking towards [military service] – like Sweden, Germany and France – they are states who culturally still have an institutional memory of when they had that system.
“We haven’t had national service since the 1960s and attempts to have that national conversation around it have pretty much backfired.”
AFP via Getty Images“The reality is, our armed forces cannot survive on a diet of government spin, over-the-horizon spending commitments and hollow rhetoric,” Sir Ben Wallace, who was Defence Secretary in the Conservative government from 2019 to 2023, told the BBC.
Responding to this, a spokesperson for the current Labour Defence Secretary, John Healey, told me: “This characterisation is baseless.
“We increased defence spending by £5bn this year alone, signed 1,000 major contracts since the election and increased MOD spending with British businesses by 6% above inflation in the last year.”
He points to a new defence agreement with Norway, a £300m new investment in the Royal Navy’s laser weapon and a £9bn investment into armed forces housing, adding: “We’re a government investing in the transformation of our forces, investing in our British service personnel… to create jobs and growth in Britain’s communities.”
Getty ImagesBut this is not about party politics. It’s about whether UK defence has been under-funded for so long that it has now reached the point where the country is dangerously vulnerable in several areas, notably air defence.
There are also problems of timing and inefficiency.
Defence contracts often take years to come to fruition. Billions of pounds have been spent on Ajax, an overdue armoured vehicle project still beset with problems. Meanwhile, Nato officers have been warning Russia could be in a position to launch an attack on a Nato country within three to five years.
At the end of the Cold War (between Nato and the Soviet Union) in 1990, when I was a young infantry Captain in the Army Reserves, the UK was spending 4.1% of GDP on defence.
The following year it deployed over 45,000 troops to help evict Iraq President Saddam Hussein’s invading army from Kuwait in operation Desert Storm.
Today, with multiple pressures on the economy, the government is striving to meet a target of 2.5% of GDP by 2027, while Russia spends close to 7%.
On paper, the British Army numbers around 74,000 but Rusi’s Ed Arnold points out that once you subtract medically non-deployable soldiers, defence attaches around the world and others not part of formed units, then its actual deployable strength is only 54,000. That is less than the average number of casualties Russia takes in two months in Ukraine.
In the event of a war, says Justin Crump of Sibylline, on land the (British) Army would most likely be degraded – incapable of fighting effectively – within weeks, once committed, though he adds “much depends on the form of the conflict”.
Suggestions the UK is already ‘at war’
Some commentators have suggested that the UK is already “at war” with Russia. They are referring to what is known as “hybrid” or “grey-zone” warfare, which includes events that are often deniable, such as cyber-attacks, disinformation and the alleged launching of drones close to airports and military bases in Nato countries.
But worrying as these are, they pale compared to the crisis that would be triggered by a Russian military attack on a Nato country, especially if it involved seizing territory and people being killed.
Getty ImagesThere are several potential flashpoints here, where Nato military chiefs fear that Putin, if he were allowed to achieve his aims in Ukraine, could eventually move on to seek new targets for aggression.
One potential target is the Suwalki Gap, a 60-mile (100km) stretch of border between Poland and Lithuania, both Nato countries. This is all that separates Russian ally Belarus from the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad on the Baltic coast.
Seizing that border and opening up a route along it would, in theory, give Moscow direct access to its strategic base on the Baltic.

The Baltic states themselves are other potential flashpoints. Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania were all once part of the Soviet Union and were ruled from Moscow.
They all voted for independence and have since joined Nato, but all have Russian-speaking minorities and hence there is a risk that Mr Putin could be tempted to send his troops across the border “to protect them from persecution”.
The eastern Estonian town of Narva, for example, is an obvious potential target here, as the majority of its population speak Russian and it sits just across the river from the giant Russian fortress of Ivangorod.
A UK battle group comprising some 900 British military personnel has been stationed in Estonia, about 80 miles west of Narva, since 2017.
AFP via Gettty ImagesIn the event of war, the plan goes, it would be hurriedly reinforced to brigade strength of around 3,000 or more.
Another possible flashpoint is the Arctic archipelago of Svalbard, which is administered by Norway but where Moscow already has a toehold in the coal mining town of Barentsburg.
Litvinenko, Skripal and hostile acts on UK soil
The UK may well be Putin’s enemy number one, having been one of Ukraine’s staunchest allies, and having pushed for more powerful weapons to be delivered to help its defence.
Hostile acts on UK soil that have been linked to President Putin include the murder with radioactive Polonium-210 of former KGB officer Alexander Litvinenko in London in 2006 – a public inquiry concluded that Putin “probably” approved his assassination – and the attempted murder of former Russian military intelligence officer turned MI6 agent Sergei Skripal in Salisbury in 2018, using the nerve agent, Novichok.
Dawn Sturgess, a mother-of-three, later died after she sprayed the Novichok, disguised as perfume, on her wrists. Putin was “morally responsible” for her death, an inquiry concluded last week.
Lord Anthony Hughes, the inquiry chair, said: “I have concluded that the operation to assassinate Sergei Skripal must have been authorised at the highest level, by President Putin.”
Russia, which has always denied involvement in the attacks and suggested more than 20 different possible explanations for Ms Sturgess’s death, described the report’s findings as “tasteless fairy tales”.
Sputnik/ AFP via Getty ImagesBut the UK is also a core member of the Nato alliance. While questions are certainly raised in private over the reliability of the current US administration in the White House, it is hard to envisage the UK ever having to fight Russia on its own.
“A pure UK-Russia conflict is not likely and can be disregarded, practically,” says Mr Crump. “We would definitely fight with allies, although Russia would most likely only launch a conflict if it felt Nato would break.”
The wild card here is US President Donald Trump.
While the chairman of Nato’s Military Committee, Adm Cavo Dragone recently assured me that the US president was absolutely committed to defending the Nato alliance, others are not so sure.
Would Trump, for example, go to war to defend the Estonian town of Narva?
Getty Images“There is no one-size-fits-all answer to what the United Kingdom is actually capable of,” concludes Keir Giles of Chatham House, “because there are so many different situations under which it could be challenged by Russia.”
As a society, the UK – unlike Poland, Finland and the Baltic States – is unquestionably not ready for war. Even serious preparations for such an eventuality would be both expensive, unpopular and politically risky.
But Mr Giles of Chatham House offers some sobering advice to the British public: “Recognise that the rights and freedoms and prosperity that they take for granted are in fact under threat and that freedom does not come for free.”
“And understand that lives will have to change. And this is not the fault of the current government or even its predecessors — it’s their fault that it is so expensive, but the root cause of the problem is in Moscow.”
Top image credit: Ministry of Defence /PA Wire/ Getty Images. Picture shows soldier in non-combat scenario

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US reportedly pursuing third oil tanker linked to Venezuela
The US Coast Guard is in “active pursuit” of another vessel in international waters near Venezuela, an official has told the BBC’s US partner CBS News, as tensions in the region continue to escalate.
US authorities have already seized two oil tankers this month – one of them on Saturday.
Sunday’s pursuit related to a “sanctioned dark fleet vessel that is part of Venezuela’s illegal sanctions evasion”, a US official said. “It is flying a false flag and under a judicial seizure order.”
Washington has accused Venezuela of using oil money to fund drug-related crime, while Venezuela has described the tanker seizures as “theft and kidnapping”.
US President Donald Trump last week ordered a “blockade” of sanctioned oil tankers entering and leaving the country.
Venezuela – home to the world largest proven oil reserves – has accused the Trump administration of trying to steal its resources.
US authorities have not yet officially confirmed Sunday’s pursuit, and the exact location and name of the tanker involved is not yet known.
As of last week, more than 30 of the 80 ships in Venezuelan waters or approaching the country were under US sanctions, according to data compiled by TankerTrackers.com.
Saturday’s seizure saw a Panamanian-flagged tanker boarded by a specialised tactical team in international waters.
That ship is not on the US Treasury’s list of sanctioned vessels, but the US has said it was carrying “sanctioned PDVSA oil”. In the past five years the ship also sailed under the flags of Greece and Liberia, according to records seen by BBC Verify.
“These acts will not go unpunished,” the Venezuelan government said in response to Saturday’s incident. It added that it intended to file a complaint with the UN Security Council and “other multilateral agencies and the governments of the world”.
Venezuela is highly dependent on revenues from its oil exports to finance its government spending.
In recent weeks, the US has built up its military presence in the Caribbean Sea and has carried out deadly strikes on alleged Venezuelan drug-smuggling boats, killing around 100 people.
It has provided no public evidence that these vessels were carrying drugs, and the military has come under increasing scrutiny from Congress over the strikes.
The Trump administration has accused Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro of leading a designated-terrorist organisation called Cartel de los Soles, which he denies.
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In rebel-held Myanmar, civilians flee junta airstrikes and a forced election
Yogita LimayeSouth Asia and Afghanistan correspondent in Myanmar
BBCLate one night last month Iang Za Kim heard explosions in a neighbouring village, then fighter jets flying overhead. She ran out of her home to see smoke rising from a distance.
“We were terrified. We thought the junta’s planes would bomb us too. So we grabbed what we could – some food and clothes and ran into the jungles surrounding our village.”
Iang’s face quivers as she recounts the story of what happened on 26 November in K-Haimual, her village in Myanmar’s western Chin State, and then she breaks down.
She’s among thousands of civilians who’ve fled their homes in recent weeks after the Burmese military launched a fierce campaign of air strikes, and a ground offensive in rebel-held areas across the country, to recapture territory ahead of elections starting on 28 December.
Four other women sitting around her on straw mats also start crying. The trauma of what they’ve gone through to make it to safety is clearly visible.
While the air strikes were the immediate cause for Iang to flee, she also doesn’t want to be forced to participate in the election.
“If we are caught and refuse to vote, they will put us in jail and torture us. We’ve run away so that we don’t have to vote,” she says.

Some from Chin state have described the junta’s latest offensive as the fiercest it has launched in more than three years.
Many of the displaced have sought refuge in other parts of the state. Iang is among a group that crossed the border into India’s Mizoram state. Currently sheltered in a rundown badminton court in Vaphai village, the group’s few belongings they were able to carry are packed in plastic sacks.
Indian villagers have given them food and basic supplies.
Ral Uk Thang has had to flee his home at the age of 80, living in makeshift shelters in jungles for days, before finally making it to safety.
“We’re afraid of our own government. They are extremely cruel. Their military has come into our and other villages in the past, they’ve arrested people, tortured them, and burned down homes,” he says.
It isn’t easy to speak to Burmese civilians freely. Myanmar’s military government does not allow free access in the country for foreign journalists. It took over the country in a coup in February 2021, shortly after the last election, and has since been widely condemned for running a repressive regime that has indiscriminately targeted civilians as it looks to crush the armed uprising against it across Myanmar.
During its latest offensive, the junta last week targeted a hospital in Rakhine State, just south of Chin State. Rebel groups in Rakhine say at least 30 people were killed and more than 70 injured.
The Chin Human Rights Organisation says that since mid-September at least three schools and six churches in Chin State have been targeted by junta airstrikes, killing 12 people including six children.

The BBC has independently verified the bombing of a school in Vanha village on 13 October. Two students –Johan Phun Lian Cung, who was seven, and Zing Cer Mawi, 12 – were killed as they were attending lessons. The bombs ripped through their classrooms injuring more than a dozen other students.
Myanmar’s military government did not respond to the BBC’s questions about the allegations.
This is the second time Bawi Nei Lian and his young family – a wife and two young children – have been displaced. Back in 2021, soon after the coup, their home in Falam town was burnt down in an air strike. They rebuilt their lives in K-Haimual village. Now they’re homeless again.
“I can’t find the words to explain how painful and hard it is and what a difficult decision it was to make to leave. But we had to do it to stay alive,” he says.
“I want the world to know that what the military is claiming – that this election is free and fair – this is absolutely false. When the main political party is not being allowed to contest the election, how can there be genuine democracy?”

The National League for Democracy party, led by Aung San Suu Kyi, which won landslides in the two elections prior to the coup, will not be contesting as most of its senior leaders including Suu Kyi are in jail.
“We don’t want the election. Because the military does not know how to govern our country. They only work for the benefit of their high-ranking leaders. When Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s party was in power, we experienced a bit of democracy. But now all we do is cry and shed tears,” says Ral Uk Thang.
Iang Za Kim believes the election will be rigged. “If we voted for a party not allied with the military, I believe they will steal our votes and claim we voted for them.”
The election will take place in phases, with a result expected around the end of January. Rebel groups have called it a sham.
At the base of the Chin National Front in Myanmar, the most prominent rebel group operating in the state, the group’s Vice Chairman Sui Khar says: “This election is only being held to prolong military dictatorship. It’s not about the people’s choice. And in Chin State, they hardly control much area, so how can they hold an election?”
He points out the areas where the most intense fighting is ongoing on a map and tells us nearly 50 rebel fighters have been injured in just the past month. There have been deaths too, but so far the groups have not released a number.
“There are columns of hundreds of soldiers trying to advance into the northern part of Chin state from four directions,” Sui Khar says. “The soldiers are being supported by air strikes, artillery fire and by drone units.”

Access to the base is extremely rare. Set amid thickly forested mountains, it is the heart of the resistance against the junta in Chin state.
Sui Khar takes us to the hospital at the base. We see a group of injured fighters who were brought in overnight and had to undergo hours of surgery. Some of them have had to undergo amputations.
Many of them were just schoolboys when the coup occurred in 2021. Just about adults now, they’ve let go of their dreams to fight on the frontline against the junta.
Abel, 18, is in too much pain to speak. He was with a group of fighters trying to take back territory the junta captured a week ago. They won the battle, but Abel lost his right leg and has serious injuries to his hands as well.
In a bed next to him is Si Si Maung, 19, who’s also had a leg amputated.
“As the enemy was retreating we ran forward and I stepped on a landmine. We were injured in the explosion. Then we were attacked from the air. The airstrikes make things very difficult for us,” he says. “I’ve lost a leg, but even if I’ve to give up my life I’m happy to make the sacrifice so that future generations have a better life.”
The impact of the ferocity of the latest offensive is visible in room after room at the hospital.
Yet, it’s the support and grit of tens of thousands of youngsters like Si Si Maung, who picked up arms to fight against the junta, that have helped the rebels make rapid advances against a much more powerful rival in the past four-and-a-half years.
Some like 80-year-old Ral Uk Thang hope that after the election, the junta will retreat, and he will be able to go back home.
“But I don’t think I will live to see democracy restored in Myanmar,” he says. “I hope my children and grandchildren can witness it some day.”
Additional reporting by Aamir Peerzada, Sanjay Ganguly and Aakriti Thapar
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A memorial ends – but Bondi tragedy has left Australia reeling, again
Tiffanie TurnbullBondi Beach
Getty ImagesAs helicopters circled overhead, sirens descended on her suburb, and people ran screaming down her street on 14 December, Mary felt a grim sense of deja vu.
“That was when I knew there was something seriously wrong – again,” she says, her eyes brimming with tears.
Mary – who did not want to give her real name – was at the Westfield Bondi Junction shopping centre last April when six people were stabbed to death by a man in psychosis, a tragedy still fresh in the minds of many.
Findings from a coronial inquest into the incident were due to be delivered this week, but were delayed after two gunmen unleashed a hail of bullets on an event marking the start of the Jewish festival of Hanukkah eight days ago.
Declared a terror attack by police, 15 people were shot and killed, including a 10-year-old girl who still had face paint curling around her eyes.
The first paramedic to confront the bloody scenes at the Chanukah by the Sea event was also the first paramedic on the scene at the Westfield stabbings.
“You just wouldn’t even fathom that something like this would happen,” 31-year-old Mary, who is originally from the UK, tells the BBC. “I say constantly to my family at home how safe it is here.”
This was the overarching sentiment in the days following the shooting. This kind of thing, mass murder, just doesn’t happen in Australia.
But it can and it has – twice, in the same community, within 18 months.
A sea of flowers left by shocked and grieving people at Bondi is being packed up. A national day of reflection is over. On Sunday night, Jewish Australians lit candles for the last time this Hannukah.
But the two tragedies have left scores physically scarred and traumatised, and the nation’s sense of safety shattered.
‘Everyone knows someone affected’
EPABondi is Australia’s most famous beach – a globally recognised symbol of its way of life.
It’s also a quintessential slice of Australian community. There’s a bit of “everyone knows everyone” – and that means everyone knows someone affected by the 14 December tragedy, mayor Will Nemesh told the BBC.
“One of the first people I texted was [Rabbi] Eli Schlanger. And I said, ‘I hope you’re OK. Call me if you need anything’,” he said.
But the British-born father of five, also known as the “Bondi Rabbi”, was among the dead.
The first responders, police and paramedics would have been working on members of their own community. Others had the task of having to treat the shooters who had taken aim at their colleagues.
“[Westfield Bondi Junction] was horrendous, something we’re certainly not used to. And then this again was massive, catastrophic injuries,” Ryan Park, health minister for New South Wales, told the BBC.
“They’ve seen things that are like you would see in a war zone… You don’t get those images out of your head,” Park added.
Mayor Nemesh fears this will forever be a stain on Bondi, and Australia.
“If this can happen here at Bondi Beach, it really could happen anywhere… the impact has reverberated around Australia.”
EPA‘Warnings ignored’
No one is feeling this more than the Jewish community, for whom Bondi has become a sanctuary.
“I swam here every day for years on end, rain or shine. And this week… I couldn’t get in the water. It didn’t feel right. It felt sacrilegious in some way,” Zac Seidler, a local clinical psychologist, told the BBC.
Many of the victims of the attack moved here over many decades for safety from persecution, including 89-year-old Holocaust survivor Alex Kleytman. Instead, his life was bookended by violent acts of antisemitic hate.
Mr Seidler has spent the past two years trying to convince his grandparents, who are also Holocaust survivors, to hold on to their belief in the good of humanity.
“[My grandmother] kept saying, ‘These are the signs. I’ve seen this before’. And I just kept saying, ‘Not in Australia, not here. You’re safe’, just trying to soothe her.
“But now I kind of feel like the fool.”
No community is a monolith, but one thing many Jewish Australians believe is that warnings about a rise of antisemitism in the months preceding this attack were ignored.
The year started with a spate of vandalism and arson incidents on Jewish marks in the suburbs surrounding Bondi. It has ended with mass murder targeting their community.
There has been resistance in the face of fear – some leaders urging Jewish Australians to double down, be more publicly Jewish and display their religious symbols with pride.
One woman perusing the flowers outside the Bondi Pavilion on Sunday admits she is too scared to do that. It took her all week to even work up the courage to visit this site, which is just metres from where many of the victims died.
“I’ve never felt my Jewishness before. I’ve never experienced antisemitism in my whole life until now,” MaryAnne says. “And now, I don’t want to wear my Star of David.”
Community, anger and sadness
The shooting triggered a massive outpouring of support from around the nation.
When the news broke, many in the community rallied to help.
Lifeguards – volunteer and paid – put their lives on the line. Restaurants opened their doors and hid people in their store rooms and freezers, and locals ushered lost children into their apartments.
Even the New South Wales opposition leader Kellie Sloane – also the local state member – was at the scene, helping pack bullet wounds.
In the days after the shooting, thousands of ordinary Australians lined up – many for hours on end – to donate blood desperately needed to treat those injured.
Each day, a carpet of petals, handwritten notes, commemorative stones and candles grew out from the gates of the Bondi Pavilion.
Bee motifs – stickers, balloons, even pavement art – are all over the suburb, in remembrance of Matilda, the terror attack’s youngest victim.
Surfers and swimmers on Friday paddled out beyond Bondi’s iconic breaks to honour those who died.
A day later, surf livesavers and lifeguards stood shoulder to shoulder on the beach in solidarity with the Jewish community.
But amid the platitudes, sadness and shock is calcifying into anger and tension.
Last year’s Bondi Junction stabbings were devastating for the community – but a shared resolution united it.
Experts say the attacker, who had schizophrenia, was in psychosis at the time of the stabbings, and his family have previously said he was frustrated at being unable to find a girlfriend. The question of whether he targeted women will likely forever go unanswered. But clear failures in the mental health system have been identified.
Last month, families of the victims asked the coroner to refer the doctor who weaned him off medication with limited supervision to regulators for investigation, and they have also argued for a massive boost to mental health service funding.
But last Sunday’s events raise more uncomfortable feelings and questions.
There is palpable fury at the government, over a perceived – and admitted – failure to do more to stop antisemitism. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has been booed during public appearances this week, and talking to people visiting the site of the attack in Bondi, it isn’t uncommon to hear them demand his resignation.
Many people the BBC spoke to pointed to his government’s decision to recognise Palestinian statehood, alongside countries including the UK and Canada, and regular protests in Australia by members of the pro-Palestinian movement, which though largely peaceful but have been peppered with antisemitic chants and placards.
The state of New South Wales – which has in recent years tightened protest rules – has already announced it will introduce more legislation cracking down on “hateful” chants and give police more powers to investigate demonstrators. The federal government has promised similar.
The blame apportioned to these protests does not sit right with many, even some sections of the Jewish community.
“We need to hold multiple truths,” Mr Seidler says. “We can be afraid, we can feel that there is deep antisemitic rhetoric going on in certain circles within Australia… while also understanding that there is a right of people in this country – especially Muslim Australians – to be concerned about what is taking place in Gaza.
“We need to get better at finding that line and calling out when that line has been crossed.”
Getty ImagesFor others, there is anger at what they feel is the politicisation of a tragedy.
“It’s a bloody photo op,” one woman tells me on Sunday, as a prominent Australian businesswoman arrives and begins posing with the floral tributes outside the Bondi Pavilion.
Some – including the local federal MP Allegra Spender – worry the attack is being used to fuel anti-immigration sentiment.
“We would not have had the man who saved so many Australians if we had cut off, for instance, Muslim immigration,” she said.
Mr Seidler says these arguments fail to recognise that antisemitic views – and other forms of bigotry – are formed here too.
“I heard someone say the other day that Australia thinks it’s on a holiday from history, that we’re somehow immune to this stuff, that it’s not bred here, it’s imported,” Mr Seidler says.
With the anger, there is also fear: for the Jewish community of other attacks, for the Muslim community of retaliation for an act of terror they have loudly condemned.
There are questions over how Australia’s security agency fumbled an alleged terrorist who at one point was on their watch list, prompting a review into federal police and intelligence agencies that was announced on Sunday.
There is frustration at NSW Police, who have for years been warned by the Muslim community of hate preachers poaching their young men.
There is animosity towards the media, driven by hurt among both Jewish and Arab Australians over a belief they and their communities have been misrepresented, and frustration at what some feel is incitement against them.
But there is also a queasiness at the treatment of traumatised victims throughout this week, some of whom were interviewed live on television while the blood of their friends still stained their hands.
Through it all, is an undercurrent of suspicion of institutions and each other.
There are varying opinions on how those rifts can heal – or even if they can. But there is a shared determination to try.
EPAOne UK expat who was at the beach at the time of the shooting says everyone he speaks to is adamant this will not change Bondi, or Australia.
“It’s seriously unique what you have as a nation… there’s a magic about it,” Henry Jamieson tells the BBC.
“I’m traumatised… and I’m going to have to deal with that for the rest of my life, I know I am… even people who weren’t there were traumatised.
“But I’m not gonna let it shake me and we will not let it shake this community.
“You can’t let them win,” he says of the alleged terrorists.
At an emotional memorial on Sunday night, seven days since the attack, the same sense of defiance was on show. It ended with the lighting of the menorah, something the crowds gathered for Hannukah last week never got to do.
The shamash, the centre candle, was lit by the father of Ahmed al Ahmed, in honour of his bravery in wrestling a gun off one of the attackers. The children of the two rabbis who were killed lit another. Others were lit by a representative of surf lifesavers and a Jewish community medic who rushed to the scene and began treating the injured before the shots had even stopped. The final candle was lit by Michael, the father of Matilda, who has been described a fountain of joy to all who knew her.
After the parade of diverse Australians had sparked flames on each arm of the menorah, Rabbi Yehoram Ulman of Bondi Chabad made a plea for more love and more unity.
“Returning to normal is not enough,” he said.
“Sydney can and must become a beacon of goodness. A city where people look out for one another, where kindness is louder than hate, where decency is stronger than fear, and we can make it happen,” he said, stopping for a moment as the crowd applauded.
“But only if we take the feelings we have right now and turn them into action, into continuous action.”
www.bbc.com
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