Business
$11bn lost to skills shortage as tech sector outgrows workforce

By Progress Godfrey
Growth in Nigeria’s digital economy may be constrained by an increasing shortage of skilled manpower, a development that industry experts say puts the estimated $11 billion annual industry revenue at risk.
It also threatens Nigeria’s ambition to increase the Information and Communication Technology (ICT) sector contribution to Gross Domestic Product, GDP, to 21 per cent by 2027.
While output from the ICT sector continues to accelerate, new data and industry insights show that the supply of industry-ready talent is lagging far behind demand, creating a structural gap that threatens sector productivity, investment confidence and value creation.
Speaking at a one-day public hearing organised by the Senate and House of Representatives Joint Committees on ICT and Cybersecurity on the National Digital Economy and E-Governance Bill 2025, the Minister of Communications, Innovation and Digital Economy, Dr. Bosun Tijani, said ICT, which contributed about 16 per cent to GDP in previous years, is now reaching roughly 19 per cent.
He said the Federal Government’s digital economy is expected to contribute 21 per cent of GDP by 2027 at the backdrop of the agenda to hit a $1 trillion economy.
Official figures underscore the speed of expansion. In nominal terms, the ICT sector grew by 31.63 per cent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, far outpacing growth in most other sectors. Quarter-on-quarter, output rose by 8.35 per cent, lifting ICT’s share of nominal GDP to 10.29 per cent.
Analysts, however, warn that the pace of growth is now exposing capacity constraints. While digital payments, telecom services and platform-based businesses continue to expand, the pool of skilled professionals required to design, secure, maintain and scale these systems is not growing at the same rate.
ICT output races ahead of talent
Nigeria’s telecom revolution has been one of its major economic success stories. Since liberalisation in 2001, the Nigerian Communications Commission, NCC, estimates that the sector has created over 500,000 jobs, expanded connectivity and supported productivity across the economy.
Yet the NCC admits that the industry is “heavily plagued” by shortages of skilled manpower. Studies, including a 2024 assessment by the International Telecommunication Union, ITU, show a sharp mismatch between employer needs and workforce capabilities. While firms require advanced digital skills from about 30 per cent of their staff, only around 11 per cent of employees currently possess such skills.
Data from the Digital Bridge Institute further highlight the depth of the challenge. As of early 2025, only about seven per cent of Nigerians aged 15 to 24 reportedly have marketable ICT skills required in a modern digital economy.
What is emerging, analysts say, is not a lack of growth momentum but a broken talent pipeline. Education, certification and entry-level training are failing to translate into industry-ready manpower, leaving firms to shoulder the burden of retraining while slowing execution and raising costs.
Firms count rising costs
Indigenous technology companies say the impact of the skills gap is already being felt in daily operations. Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Unitellas Edge Cloud, Mr. Smith Osemeke, said the shortage of skilled professionals in cloud architecture, cybersecurity and data analytics has become a major constraint.
“Our operations require specialised expertise, but the local talent pool often lacks these competencies. This forces us to invest heavily in internal training and mentorship before deployment,” he said.
According to him, the result is slower project delivery, higher operating costs and limited ability to scale quickly while maintaining service quality.
At Layer3, one of Nigeria’s leading technology services firms, Chief People Officer, Dr. Elsie Nemieboka, said many applicants arrive with certifications that do not match practical capability.
“The majority are not industry-ready. We see candidates with certificates but little exposure to real production environments,” she said, describing the phenomenon as the rise of “paper engineers.”
She warned that the gap is stretching project timelines, increasing rework and accelerating burnout among experienced staff who must compensate for skills shortfalls.
Beyond individual firms, the problem is becoming macro-economic. Digital payments have surged dramatically, with electronic transaction values hitting N1.07 quadrillion in 2024, a 79.6 per cent year-on-year increase.
Transaction volumes rose to 11.2 billion, reflecting the growing reliance of households and businesses on digital platforms.
Industry watchers say this scale of activity requires deeper pools of cloud, cybersecurity, AI and data talent to manage risks and sustain growth.
The Sector Skills Council for ICT estimates that Nigeria could be losing up to $11 billion annually in unrealised digital-economy value due to the persistent skills deficit.
At a nominal GDP of about $248.5 billion, such losses represent a significant drag on growth in a sector expected to anchor Nigeria’s $1 trillion economic ambition.
Although Nigeria attracted more than $2 billion in tech and fintech investments in 2024, analysts warn that investors increasingly factor skills availability into long-term risk assessments. A sustained manpower shortage could weaken Nigeria’s appeal relative to peer markets with deeper technical labour pools.
Experts urge urgent reforms
From a governance and policy perspective, experts argue that the skills gap reflects coordination failures rather than absence of initiatives. Research Chair in Governance and AI at Carleton University, Canada, Professor Adegboyega Ojo, said Nigeria lacks a coherent, system-wide national agenda for digital literacy and talent development.
“What is missing is an integrated approach that spans primary, secondary and tertiary education, ensuring a steady pipeline of skills from foundational literacy to advanced specialist capabilities,” he said.
He warned that without such coordination, Nigeria risks sustaining ICT growth driven mainly by telecommunications while falling short in advanced digital capabilities such as AI, data science and cybersecurity.
The government has rolled out several initiatives to address the challenge. Director-General of the National Information Technology Development Agency, NITDA, Kashifu Inuwa Abdullahi, said the agency plans to train 50 million Nigerians and raise digital literacy to 70 per cent by 2027.
Dr. Tijani also highlighted progress on the 3 Million Technical Talent, 3MTT, programme, alongside investments in digital infrastructure, including a 90,000-kilometre national fibre-optic backbone, deployment of 3,700 new telecom towers and upgrades to Nigeria’s satellite capacity through NIGCOMSAT.
However, experts caution that infrastructure expansion alone will not close the skills gap. Professor Ojo pointed to countries such as South Korea, Canada and the United Arab Emirates, where compulsory digital literacy begins at primary school and talent strategies integrate education, industry and research.
Mr. Osemeke identified structural hurdles, including weak industry-academia collaboration, outdated curricula, lack of incentives for corporate upskilling and persistent brain drain.
He called for stronger public-private partnerships, tax credits for workforce development, specialised tech hubs and apprenticeship-based training models.
Dr. Nemieboka added that universities must play a central role in developing advanced digital and AI skills, supported by significant investment in research infrastructure. She stressed that soft skills such as critical thinking, communication and resilience should become core components of tech education.
The post $11bn lost to skills shortage as tech sector outgrows workforce appeared first on Vanguard News.
Business
FCCPC to marketers: Cut petrol prices or face sanctions
The Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) has warned oil marketers against exploiting consumers, saying the current retail prices of petrol do not reflect the sharp decline in global crude oil prices.
In a statement issued on Sunday, the Commission said its ongoing surveillance of the downstream petroleum sector had uncovered indications of consumer exploitation, as recent reductions in petrol prices by refiners, depot operators and marketers remain insignificant despite the sustained fall in crude oil prices.
According to the FCCPC, global crude oil prices have dropped to about 73 dollars per barrel following the ceasefire between the United States and Iran and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The agency noted that crude prices had climbed to about 120 dollars per barrel at the height of tensions in the Middle East between April and May, prompting a swift increase in petrol pump prices across Nigeria.
The Commission observed that while crude oil prices have now returned to levels recorded in February, retail fuel prices have remained relatively high.
It recalled that petrol sold for between ₦800 and ₦900 per litre in February, but rose sharply to between ₦1,350 and ₦1,500 per litre during the period of heightened geopolitical tensions. Despite the subsequent drop in crude oil prices, petrol is still being sold at an average of about ₦1,200 per litre, while some local refiners have fixed ex-depot prices between ₦1,025 and ₦1,075 per litre.
The Commission acknowledged that domestic fuel prices are influenced by several factors, including refining costs, foreign exchange fluctuations, logistics, financing and distribution expenses. However, it maintained that consumers should benefit from lower crude oil prices through competitive market pricing.
Executive Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of the FCCPC, Tunji Bello, said although the Commission does not regulate petrol prices in Nigeria’s deregulated downstream petroleum sector, it has a statutory responsibility to ensure consumers are protected from unfair and exploitative practices.
“To be clear, the Commission does not regulate or approve petroleum prices in a deregulated downstream market. Our responsibility under the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act, 2018, is to promote competitive markets, prevent anti-competitive conduct and protect consumers from unfair, deceptive and exploitative business practices,” Bello said.
He questioned why marketers often respond immediately by increasing pump prices whenever crude oil prices rise, yet delay passing on the benefits to consumers when prices fall.
“We are concerned that while dealers often respond swiftly by hiking pump prices whenever crude prices rise, it is curious that it is taking forever for consumers to benefit significantly when crude prices fall. Competitive markets must work fairly in both directions,” he added.
Bello warned that deregulation does not absolve businesses of the responsibility to compete fairly or respect consumer rights.
According to him, the Commission will investigate and sanction any company found engaging in anti-competitive conduct, consumer exploitation or any practice that violates the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act.
“Where credible evidence indicates conduct that undermines competition, exploits consumers or otherwise contravenes the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act, the Commission will investigate and take appropriate enforcement action,” he said.
He also urged Nigerians to continue reporting suspected price manipulation, anti-competitive practices and other unfair market behaviour through the Commission’s official complaint channels.
The FCCPC’s warning comes days after the Dangote Refinery reduced its ex-depot petrol price from ₦1,175 to ₦1,125 per litre, following the continued decline in international crude oil prices. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, recently fell to about 72.97 dollars per barrel, its lowest level since February.
Business
Agents fault FG’s Green Tax on imported vehicles, demand suspension
By Godwin Oritse
The Association of Nigerian Licensed Customs Agents (ANLCA) has called on the Federal Government (FG) to suspend the implementation of the Green Tax Policy, scheduled to take off from July 1st, 2026, citing inadequate stakeholder engagement by the implementing agency, the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS).
The association argued that key stakeholders, particularly licensed customs agents and importers, who will be directly affected by the policy were not sufficiently sensitised or consulted before its rollout.
In a statement signed by ANLCA President, Emenike Nwokeoji, yesterday, the association expressed concern that a fiscal policy with such far-reaching implications for import duty, cargo valuation, contractual obligations, shipping arrangements and business planning was communicated to only a section of the critical trading community in Lagos barely 72 hours before its proposed implementation.
“Even more astonishing was the extremely late invitation extended to stakeholders for the consultation meeting. Such an approach is insensitive, procedurally defective and inconsistent with the principles of fairness, inclusiveness, stakeholder engagement and due consultation that should ordinarily guide the implementation of major public policies.
“Fiscal policies of this magnitude ought to be preceded by adequate notice, extensive consultations with all relevant stakeholders across the country, comprehensive sensitisation and sufficient transitional periods to ensure seamless compliance.
Anything short of this undermines confidence in government policies, exposes legitimate businesses to avoidable financial losses and ultimately erodes the confidence of both local and foreign investors in Nigeria’s trade environment.”
The group also raised concern about the decision to subject shipments already in transit to Nigeria to the new levy.
“This amounts to a retrospective fiscal burden on importers and licensed customs agents who had already entered into binding commercial contracts based on the existing tariff regime. Such a development will inevitably result in severe financial losses and unnecessary disputes within the international trading community.
“Furthermore, the stakeholders’ meeting failed to adequately address critical implementation issues. For instance, there was no clear methodology provided for determining engine capacities for the purpose of Green Tax assessment.
“This ambiguity is capable of creating confusion, inconsistent assessments, avoidable disputes and ultimately leaving the trading public at the discretion of individual assessment officers.
“ANLCA remains committed to constructive engagement with the Federal Government and the Nigeria Customs Service in pursuit of policies that promote legitimate trade while achieving national objectives,” he said.
The association also made it clear that it is not challenging the authority of the Federal Government to formulate or implement fiscal policies. It, however, demanded the immediate suspension or postponement of the implementation of the Green Tax Policy until adequate stakeholder consultations have been conducted nationwide.
Business
Cost of Healthy Diet rises 3% to N1,589/day
By Elizabeth Adegbesan
The national average Cost of a Healthy Diet (CoHD) rose by 3.12 percent month-on-month (MoM) to N1,589 per adult per day in April from N1,541 per adult per day in March 2026.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) disclosed this yesterday in its CoHD Report for April 2026, noting that the increase was driven by rising prices across all food groups except starchy staples.
it stated: “The national average Cost of a Healthy Diet was N1,589 in April 2026. This shows an increase of 3.12% when compared to the amount recorded in the previous month (March 2026 was N1,541).”
The Bureau noted that the CoHD rose faster than both general inflation and food inflation during the period.
On the cost of food share groups, the Bureau said animal source foods were the most expensive food group recommendations to meet in April, accounting for 40 percent of the total CoHD while providing 13 percent of the total calories.
“Fruits and vegetables were the most expensive food groups in terms of price per calorie; they accounted for 16 percent and 14 percent, respectively, of the total CoHD while providing only 7 percent and 5 percent, respectively, of the total calories in the Healthy Diet Basket.
“Legumes, Nuts, and Seeds were the least expensive food group on average, accounting for 7 percent of the total cost.”
On national, state and zonal trends, the NBS said: “The national average Cost of a Healthy Diet was N1,589 per adult per day in April 2026.
“At the state level, Ekiti, Imo and Bayelsa states recorded the highest costs at N2,036, N2,018 and N1,909, respectively. Adamawa, the Federal Capital Territory and Akwa Ibom State recorded the lowest costs at N1,143, N1,278 and N1,314, respectively.
“At the zonal level, the average CoHD was highest in the South-East Zone at N1,830 per day, followed by the South-West Zone at N1,753 per day.
“The lowest average Cost of a Healthy Diet was recorded in the North-East Zone at N1,415 per day.”
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