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Why Africa’s energy transition must start with infrastructure

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Why Africa’s energy transition must start with infrastructure

By Ifeanyi Ajuluchukwu, Chief Executive Officer, Montserrado

When the world looks at Africa, it often sees extremes. Some see a continent powered by youth, creativity, and vast natural resources, while others see fragility, power shortages, poverty, and climate vulnerability. Yet beneath every narrative lies a deeper truth – Africa has everything it needs to claim its place among the world’s leading economies. What it lacks is not potential, talent, or ambition. What it lacks is infrastructure and capital, as there is an estimated $170 billion annual requirement in funding to close the infrastructure gap.

Energy, more than any other input, determines the pace of development. Every major economic transformation in history, from the industrial revolution to today’s digital age, has been driven by access to reliable and affordable power. Energy enables manufacturing, supports healthcare systems, fuels innovation, and underpins modern living. Without it, productivity stalls and opportunity remains out of reach. Today, Africa stands at a defining crossroads. The continent must grow, but it must also grow sustainably, and that journey begins not with aspirational climate rhetoric but with practical investment in energy infrastructure.

Across Sub-Saharan Africa, nearly 600 million people still live without access to electricity. In Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy, available power hovers around 4 to 5 gigawatts for more than 220 million people, forcing businesses and households to rely on diesel generators that cost three to five times more than grid electricity. At the same time, the continent faces an annual infrastructure financing gap of approximately $170 billion, equivalent to about nine percent of GDP. These figures are not abstract. They show up daily in factory shutdowns, rising operating costs, stalled urban development, and missed economic opportunities.

Yet paradoxically, this same infrastructure deficit represents one of the most compelling investment opportunities of our generation. Essential assets such as power generation, gas processing, and utilities benefit from structural demand, pricing resilience, and long-duration cash flows. Properly developed and governed, they offer investors attractive risk-adjusted returns while delivering transformative social and environmental impact.

Africa’s energy transition must also be rooted in realism. The continent contributes less than four percent of global emissions, yet bears a disproportionate share of climate risk. At the same time, it cannot afford a transition pathway that overlooks development needs. Moving directly to idealized renewable systems while millions remain in energy poverty is neither practical nor equitable. The globally accepted strategy for development and energy transition is a “Net Zero Philosophy” but this is often misinterpreted as “Zero” emissions. This has caused a knee jerk reaction to energy project financing and consequently a vulnerability to the market forces and a high cost of global energy caused by geopolitical incidents such as the war in Ukraine cutting off gas supply to Europe.

The transition must be built on enabling infrastructure: gas-to-power, flare capture, LPG for clean cooking, and embedded power for industrial clusters. These solutions deliver immediate emissions reductions while supporting economic growth. Financing projects such as these enable support economic development and ensure that we are not destroying the other 16 sustainable development goals just to achieve 1.

Nigeria alone flares between seven and eight billion cubic meters of gas annually, destroying two to three billion dollars ($2- $3 billion) in potential revenue every year while emitting more than twenty million tonnes of carbon dioxide. That wasted gas could instead power factories, provide clean cooking fuel, and displace diesel generation across West Africa. This is what responsible transition looks like: eliminating waste, replacing higher-emission alternatives, and building foundational systems that support both climate goals and development outcomes.

The investment case for Africa is reinforced by powerful demographic and economic trends. The continent’s population is projected to reach 2.5 billion by 2050, accounting for nearly forty percent of global population growth, while urbanization is expected to rise from roughly forty-three percent today to nearly sixty percent by mid-century. Manufacturing, mining, and processing corridors are expanding rapidly, driving sustained baseload energy demand. Importantly, Africa’s low emissions baseline allows it to leapfrog into climate-resilient infrastructure at lower long-term cost. Yet despite these fundamentals, global capital remains misaligned with African infrastructure realities, particularly during the development and construction phases. This misalignment creates a rare opportunity for investors willing to engage early, price risk correctly, and partner with experienced local developers.

At Montserrado, we have learned that Africa does not suffer from a lack of ideas; it suffers from a shortage of bankable projects. Our role as energy infrastructure developers has been to bridge that gap by originating, de-risking, and structuring energy and infrastructure assets into investment-grade opportunities. Across West Africa , our team has developed over $200 million in transactions spanning gas processing, solar PV, modular refining, power generation, and transport infrastructure.

Today, our development pipeline includes over 370 million standard cubic feet per day of gas-to-power capacity, supporting an indicative generation potential of approximately 2.1 gigawatts, alongside more than 240 megawatts of near-term embedded and captive power transactions. We believe that affordable power is the key to economic and infrastructural development in emerging markets, as this is a significant cost of doing business. To build a social infrastructure such as roads, hospitals, ports, schools and so on, you will need heavy earth moving equipment and all these run on energy, the availability of cleaner and cheaper diesel or the conversion of these equipment to work operate with Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) will significantly reduce the cost of each project.

Our model is deliberately long-term and this approach enables us to compound returns while maintaining alignment with communities, regulators, and offtakers. We are not traders of infrastructure. We are builders.

But energy transition is not only about megawatts and emissions. It is about people. Clean cooking reduces household air pollution for women and children. Reliable power keeps small businesses operating and hospitals functioning. Domestic gas processing reduces fuel imports and strengthens national resilience. Every project creates jobs, builds technical capacity, and anchors local value chains.

Our current impact pipeline alone supports clean cooking access for up to fifteen million people annually, embedded power serving over one million individuals, and avoided emissions of approximately 2.3 million tonnes of carbon dioxide each year. This is what infrastructure looks like when it is designed with both financial discipline and human outcomes in mind.

Africa’s energy transition will not be financed by grants and viability gap funding alone. It requires patient capital, credible developers, and structures that align risk with reward. The opportunity is clear: essential infrastructure assets in high-growth markets offering long-term yield, inflation-linked revenues, and measurable impact. But success demands partnership. Investors must move beyond headlines and engage deeply with project fundamentals, while developers must uphold institutional standards of governance, execution, and transparency.

At Montserrado, we believe Africa’s transition must be built, not merely discussed. Infrastructure is where climate meets commerce. It is where development becomes investable. And it is where Africa’s next chapter truly begins.

Ifeanyi Ajuluchukwu is the founder of Montserrado, a climate transition and sustainable infrastructure platform focused on developing bankable energy assets across West Africa. With over 20 years of experience spanning corporate banking, project finance, and energy infrastructure, Ifeanyi leads Montserrado’s mission to convert Africa’s energy gaps into productivity-driven investment opportunities and is also the founder of Phoenix. Under his leadership, the firm has executed over USD 200 million in transactions and is advancing a diversified pipeline covering gas processing, embedded power, and clean cooking infrastructure, delivering measurable economic and climate impact. A strong advocate for pragmatic energy transition, Ifeanyi is recognized for bridging institutional capital with on-the-ground execution to enable Africa’s industrial growth.

The post Why Africa’s energy transition must start with infrastructure appeared first on Vanguard News.

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Insecurity, soaring operational costs, others stall ICT tax boom

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***Foreign investments nose-dive

***We’re battling unprecedented cost pressures — Operators

By Progress Godfrey

Nigeria’s Information and Communication Technology (ICT) sector recorded its first decline in Company Income Tax (CIT) in four years, reflecting a reversal of fortune in the sector.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Company Income Tax report showed that CIT from the ICT declined to N63.62 billion in the first quarter of 2026, Q1’26, from N65.52 billion in the corresponding period of 2025, ending a three-year streak of double-digit growth.

Sector stakeholders disclosed that sector has been hit by rising operating costs, dwindling foreign investment, soaring energy costs, rising infrastructure expenses, rising borrowing costs, which, according to them, squeezed operators’ profitability despite sustained growth in demand for digital services.

The ICT sector had posted robust growth in tax remittances over the previous three years.

In first quarter 2023, Q1’23, CIT in ICT rose 21.8 per cent to N35.75 billion in from N29.35 billion in Q1’22. The upward trend continued in Q1’24 increasing by 35.79 per cent to N48.54 billion, and rising further by 34.97 per cent to N65.52 billion in Q1’25.

The reversal in Q1’26 has raised concerns over the profitability of one of Nigeria’s fastest-growing sectors.

Foreign investments

nose-dive

Foreign capital imported into telecommunications sector plunged by 91 per cent year-on-year to a four-year low of $7.24 million in Q1’26 from $80.78 million in Q1’25.

The investment drought persisted despite the 50 per cent tariff adjustment approved by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) in early 2025 to cushion operators against soaring diesel prices and rising financing costs, amongst other operational constraints.

Operators battling 

unprecedented 

cost pressures

Commenting on the development, Chairman of the Association of Licensed Telecoms Operators of Nigeria (ALTON), Engr. Gbenga Adebayo, said the decline in the sector CIT should be viewed within the context of the industry’s challenging operating environment rather than as evidence of weakening demand for telecommunications services.

According to him, broadband penetration, fintech, e-commerce, digital services and the Federal Government’s digital transformation agenda continue to drive strong demand across the industry.

He, however, noted that growing revenues have not translated into higher taxable profits because operators are battling unprecedented cost pressures.

He stated: “The industry has experienced significant increases in energy costs arising from the removal of fuel subsidies, inflationary pressures on maintenance and logistics, rising security costs, and the substantial capital investments required to expand and modernise network infrastructure to meet growing consumer demand.

“These factors have compressed operating margins and, consequently, taxable profits, even as operators continue to invest heavily in expanding network coverage and improving quality of service.”

Adebayo maintained that the decline reflects structural and transitional economic challenges rather than any weakening of the telecommunications industry.

He added, “The Nigerian telecommunications industry remains one of the strongest enablers of economic growth and digital inclusion. Traffic volumes, data consumption and demand for digital connectivity continue to increase.

“The current environment reflects an adjustment period in which operators are absorbing significantly higher operating and capital costs while continuing to maintain nationwide network availability and invest in future capacity.”

He emphasised that ongoing economic reforms by the Federal Government are expected to strengthen the investment climate over the medium to long term, although they have imposed short-term adjustment costs on businesses.

The ALTON chairman also commended the Federal Government for recognising telecommunications infrastructure as a strategic national asset, while urging policymakers to implement additional measures to improve the industry’s operating environment.

Middle-east crisis, 

a major contributor 

— CPPE

The Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Dr. Muda Yusuf, also attributed the decline in ICT sector Company Income Tax to rising operating costs, geopolitical tensions, weak consumer spending and insecurity, saying the industry’s profitability came under significant pressure during the period.

According to him, the industry’s heavy reliance on diesel-powered generators, occasioned by unreliable grid electricity, has made energy one of its largest operating costs.

“Consequently, the sharp escalation in diesel, petrol and gas prices—triggered by the geopolitical tensions and conflict in the Middle East—significantly increased operating costs, compressed profit margins, and weakened overall sector profitability,” he highlighted.

Yusuf added that demand conditions were also less favourable during the quarter.

He stated further, “The first quarter is typically a relatively slow business period, with lower transaction volumes following the year-end surge in economic activity.

“This seasonal effect was compounded by elevated inflation, high transportation costs and a sustained erosion of household purchasing power. As a result, consumers became more cautious in their spending, moderating demand for telecommunications services, data consumption and other discretionary digital services.”

He identified insecurity as another major challenge confronting operators.

“Vandalism and destruction of telecommunications infrastructure in conflict-prone areas, particularly in parts of Northern Nigeria, have disrupted network operations and increased maintenance and replacement costs.

“In many instances, security constraints delay access to affected sites, prolonging service outages, reducing network efficiency and limiting operators’ ability to expand service coverage.

“The combined impact of rising operating costs, weaker consumer demand and security-related disruptions inevitably weighed on sector profitability.”

Despite the current challenges, Yusuf expressed confidence that the sector would return to stronger earnings growth as macroeconomic conditions improve.

“As macroeconomic conditions improve and the challenges of energy costs and insecurity are progressively addressed, the sector is well positioned to restore stronger earnings growth and sustain its role as a key driver of economic transformation,” he said.

FX exposure,

regulatory burden

hurting local firms

Offering a technology entrepreneur’s perspective, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Unitellas Edge Cloud, Mr. Smith Osemeke, said the decline in the sector CIT reflected the impact of foreign exchange exposures, rising infrastructure costs and the transition to Nigeria’s new tax framework.

According to him, while operators continued to generate revenue, the sharp depreciation of the naira significantly increased the cost of imported infrastructure and technology inputs, leaving many firms with lower taxable profits.

His words: “A large part of the gap is outstanding foreign exchange exposure, as telecom and tech infrastructure such as servers, network equipment, tower leases, software licensing and cloud capacity are overwhelmingly dollar-priced, while revenue is earned in naira. When the naira depreciates, a company can have strong operating revenue and still report little or no taxable profit.

“The second factor is timing: the new Nigeria Tax Act framework took effect in January 2026, right at the start of the quarter under review, and some of the dip possibly reflect firms’ and the tax authority’s adjustments to new filing and remittance structures rather than a genuine collapse in earnings.”

Osemeke noted that indigenous technology companies have borne the impact of the current macroeconomic environment more severely than multinational operators with better access to foreign capital and hedging instruments.

He said soaring infrastructure and energy costs have significantly increased operating expenses, while multiple taxes and regulatory obligations continue to weigh heavily on smaller indigenous firms.

“Smaller indigenous operators typically lack the balance sheet to hedge or renegotiate dollar-linked contracts the way the larger telcos have done with tower companies.

“Regulatory burden compounds both. ALTON has repeatedly stated that telecom operators face around 54 separate taxes and levies across federal, state and agency lines—a burden that falls disproportionately on smaller indigenous ISPs and tech firms with thinner compliance and legal teams—and which the association’s leadership has publicly called to be reduced and harmonised, alongside Right-of-Way charges that continue to obstruct infrastructure rollout,” Mr Osemeke stated.

Call for policy

reforms

To strengthen the industry’s long-term contribution to government revenue, Osemeke urged the Federal Government to reduce the cost of doing business through comprehensive policy reforms.

He recommended the harmonisation of taxes and levies, clearer implementation of the new tax framework, targeted foreign exchange support and incentives for local production of telecommunications infrastructure.

Pushing forward the way out, Osemeke stated: “First, government should move decisively to harmonise the current patchwork of taxes and levies into a single, predictable framework, retire multiple taxation and eliminate Right-of-Way charges nationally. A simplified structure would likely improve both compliance and net remittances rather than reduce them.

“Second, telecom and digital infrastructure such as data centres, fibre networks and base stations should be formally classified and protected as Critical National Infrastructure, both to curb the recurring vandalism and theft that have rightly been flagged as major operating costs and to qualify operators for more reliable power access or gas-to-power incentives rather than continued diesel dependence.”

He also advocated tax credits linked to research, innovation and skills development, arguing that such measures would deepen investment, expand the tax base and strengthen Nigeria’s digital economy over the long term.

Also making recommendation for restoration of ICT growth, ALTON boss, Adebayo, said priority should be given to effective implementation of the Critical National Information Infrastructure (CNII) framework to protect telecommunications infrastructure from vandalism and service disruptions.

He also called for greater harmonisation of taxes, levies and regulatory charges across all tiers of government to eliminate multiple taxation, faster approval of Right-of-Way permits, more stable fiscal and regulatory policies, and stronger collaboration between government, regulators and industry stakeholders to support long-term investment and industry sustainability.

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Elumelu retires as UBA Chairman, Nnorom named successor

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By Babajide Komolafe

United Bank for Africa, UBA Plc, has announced the retirement of its Group Chairman, Tony Elumelu   and the appointment of Mr. Emmanuel Nnorom as his successor. 

In a statement announcing the board leadership change filed with the Nigerian Exchange, NGX, the bank stated: “Mr. Tony O. Elumelu, Group Chairman of UBA, will  retire from the Board of Directors of UBA  with effect from 21 August 2026, upon the completion of the maximum 12-year tenure  prescribed for Non-Executive Directors of Banks by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

“At its meeting held on 6 July 2026, the Board accepted Mr. Elumelu’s retirement letter and elected Mr. Emmanuel N. Nnorom, a Non-Executive  Director of the Bank, as his successor, with effect from 21 August 2026.

“The Board places on record its profound appreciation to Mr. Elumelu for his visionary leadership and exceptional contribution to the growth, transformation and institutional strength of the UBA Group.

“Mr. Nnorom is a chartered accountant with over forty years’ experience in banking, finance and audit. He brings to the role, extensive leadership  experience and deep institutional knowledge of UBA.”

Commenting on his retirement, Mr. Tony O. Elumelu said: “Serving United Bank for Africa has been one of the great privileges of my career. UBA has a unique competitive position, across Africa and globally, and I leave the Board with great confidence in UBA’s future. Emmanuel Nnorom is a leader of integrity, experience and sound judgement, and I am confident that the Bank will continue to thrive under his leadership.

Speaking on his appointment, Nnorom said: “I am honoured by the trust the Board has placed in me and deeply conscious of the legacy I inherit. I look forward to working with my  colleagues on the Board, Management and our staff across all our markets to sustain UBA’s momentum and continue delivering long-term value to our shareholders, customers and stakeholders.”

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Dangote, major marketers cut petrol depot prices as FG mounts pressure

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•IPMAN targets sub-N800/litre

By Udeme Akpan &  Obas Esiedesa

Nigeria’s downstream petroleum market witnessed another round of price reductions on Monday, with the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and several major fuel marketers lowering depot prices for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), popularly known as petrol, and diesel.

This development comes at the backdrop of pressures from the Federal Government (FG) as well as growing competition and improving product availability.

Earlier yesterday before the price adjustments, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, told a stakeholders’ meeting that the current retail price of petrol does not reflect the sharp decline in price of crude oil.

The meeting, convened by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), was attended by representatives of the Dangote Refinery, Major Energy Marketers Association of Nigeria (MEMAN), IPMAN, Depots and Petroleum Products Marketers Association of Nigeria (DAPPMAN), Nigerian Association of Road Transport Owners (NARTO), and Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN).

The latest mid-day depot price report showed that Dangote Refinery reduced it’s ex-depot petrol price in Lagos by N3 per litre, from N1,079 to N1,076 per litre, while maintaining its diesel price at N1,500 per litre.

The reduction comes as several marketers also adjusted their prices downward in an apparent bid to remain competitive in an increasingly price-sensitive market.

Among the major Lagos depots, NIPCO cut its petrol price by N2 to N1,076 per litre, while Pinnacle lowered its price by N3 to N1,075 per litre. Sahara, AIPEC, and African Terminal each reduced prices by N4, bringing their petrol prices to N1,075 per litre.

Aiteo maintained its petrol price at N1,075 per litre.

Diesel prices also softened across several depots. Rain Oil reduced it’s AGO price by N15 to N1,430 per litre, while Ibeto, Duport, and Ibachem all cut prices to N1,430 per litre. Dangote Refinery, however, retained its diesel price at N1,500 per litre.

In Port Harcourt, marketers recorded even steeper reductions. Matrix slashed its petrol price by N8 to N1,087 per litre and cut diesel by N55 to N1,465 per litre, representing the biggest diesel price reduction recorded during the trading session.

Sigmund also reduced its petrol price by N12 to N1,082 per litre, although it raised its diesel price slightly by N2 to N1,463 per litre.

The downward trend extended to other regions. In Calabar, Fynfield reduced its petrol price by N7 to N1,090 per litre, while Soroman lowered its price by N5 to the same level.

In Warri, Matrix and Prudent both reduced petrol prices by N5 to N1,085 per litre. On the diesel side, Prudent cut its price by N25 to N1,475 per litre, while A.Y.M. Shafa lowered its diesel price by N3 to N1,455 per litre.

Industry analysts said the latest adjustments reflect heightened competition among suppliers following increased domestic refining capacity and relatively stable international crude oil prices.

Speaking after a stakeholders’ meeting on Cost-Reflective Pricing of PMS Lokpobiri said while the government did not interfere when petrol prices rose in response to higher crude oil prices, there was now no justification for maintaining current pump prices with Brent crude trading below $70 per barrel.

“NMDPRA never faulted anybody as far as the price was concerned because we are operating a fully deregulated economy.

“But deregulation doesn’t mean excessive profiteering. The Petroleum Industry Act also places responsibility on NMDPRA to ensure that steps are taken to prevent unnecessary profiteering.

“When Brent crude was about $118 per barrel, prices adjusted rapidly. Now that crude prices have dropped significantly, why has the pump price not come down in the same way?” he asked.

The Minister said discussions with marketers were constructive and would continue until a framework was agreed to ensure petrol prices better reflected developments in the global crude oil market.

“We had very fruitful and frank discussions with the marketers and leaders of the downstream sector with a view to driving down the price of PMS. The engagements are still ongoing.

“We told them the concerns of Nigerian consumers, and they have agreed to go back and think of what concrete steps can be taken. Discussions are ongoing, and we believe we are getting somewhere,” he said.

Also speaking, Chief Executive of NMDPRA, Mallam Rabiu Umar, said the current disconnect between falling international crude prices and sustained domestic retail PMS prices made the engagement with marketers necessary.

He noted that previous consultations with stakeholders had helped ease prices in the domestic Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) market and expressed confidence that similar dialogue would deliver positive results for petrol consumers.

“Deregulation is not a licence for market distortion or unfair consumer pricing. Sustainable profitability for marketers and consumer welfare are not mutually exclusive,” Umar said.

Meanwhile, IPMAN said petrol prices could decline below N800 per litre as independent marketers begin purchasing products directly from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

IPMAN National President, Abubakar Garima, said the association had already reduced petrol prices by about N125 per litre across the country and would continue to lower prices whenever product acquisition costs decline.

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