Business
Nigeria’s GDP growth rises 3.89% in Q1’26

By Elizabeth Adegbesan
Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose to 3.89 per cent in the first quarter of this year, Q1’26, representing a 0.76 percentage point increase from the 3.13 per cent recorded in the same period of 2025, Q1’25.
However, the GDP growth in Q1’26, represents a 0.18 percentage points decline from the 4.07 per cent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2025, Q4’25.
Disclosing these yesterday, the National Bureau of Statistics, NBS, stated: “Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 3.89% (year-on-year) in real terms in the first quarter of 2026, higher than the 3.13% recorded in the first quarter of 2025. During the quarter under review, agriculture grew by 3.15%, an improvement from the 0.07% recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2025.
“The growth of the industry sector stood at 3.50% from 3.42% recorded in the first quarter of 2025, while the services sector recorded a growth of 4.31% from 4.33% in the same quarter of 2025.
“In terms of share of the GDP, the services sector contributed more to the aggregate GDP in the first quarter of 2026 at 57.73% compared to the corresponding quarter of 2025 at 57.50%.
“Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 3.89 percent (year-on-year) in real terms in the first quarter of 2026, higher than the 3.13 percent recorded in the first quarter of 2025.”
NBS noted that during the quarter under review, the services sector contributed more to the aggregate GDP at 57.73 percent.
“The real growth of the oil sector was 2.57 (year-on-year) in Q1 2026, indicating an increase of 0.70% points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2025 (1.87%). Growth decreased by 4.22% points when compared to Q4 2025, which was 6.79%. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the oil sector recorded a growth rate of 9.31% in Q1 2026.
“The Oil sector contributed 3.92% to the total real GDP in Q1 2026, down from the figure recorded in the corresponding period of 2025 at 3.97%. and up from the preceding quarter, where it contributed 2.87%.
“The non-oil sector grew by 3.94% in real terms during the reference quarter (Q1 2026). This rate was higher by 0.75% points compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2025, which was 3.19%, and lower than the 3.99% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2025.
“In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 96.08% to the nation’s GDP in the first quarter of 2026, higher than the share recorded in the first quarter of 2025, which was 96.03%, and lower than the fourth quarter of 2025, recorded as 97.13%.”
The post Nigeria’s GDP growth rises 3.89% in Q1’26 appeared first on Vanguard News.
Business
Customs, agents disagree over National Single Window operations
By Godwin Oritse & Efe Onodjae
There are indications of festering disagreements over the implementation of the National Single Window (NSW), a centralized digital portal launched by the Federal Government in March this year to address delays in import-export processing at the ports.
It allows importers and exporters to submit trade documents once, replacing duplicate paperwork across multiple agencies.
President of the National Council of Managing Directors of Licensed Customs Agents (NCMDLCA), Lucky Amiwero, told Vanguard that the system is not operating as envisaged, urging the government to hand over the implementation to the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS).
But Customs itself is saying there is no problem with the system presently, adding that it has recorded some early successes.
However, Amiwero said the current arrangement has failed to simplify trade documentation and cargo clearance, contrary to the objectives of a Single Window system.
“Instead of a single window, what we have are multiple windows that are complicating the process for importers and clearing agents,” he said.
He dismissed reports that the project had entered a second phase, insisting that challenges identified during the initial phase remained unresolved.
According to him, the NCS has the legal mandate, operational platform and technical expertise required to implement the project under the Customs Act.
Amiwero also disagreed with the plans for electronic transmission of cargo manifests outside the Customs framework, insisting that manifest administration is a statutory responsibility of the NCS.
He urged the government to harmonise all trade documentation on a single Customs platform instead of creating multiple systems that duplicate functions.
The freight forwarder further expressed concern over persistent cargo clearance delays, saying they continue to increase demurrage and other port charges borne by importers.
Meanwhile, the NCS has said that the NSW platform has enhanced trade facilitation, improved efficiency in goods clearing and Nigeria’s competitiveness in international trade.
Also the Customs, in collaboration with the National Single Window (NSW) Secretariat, has commenced stakeholder sensitisation on submission of electronic vessel manifest as implementation of the next phase of the NSW gathers momentum.
Addressing the stakeholders, Deputy Comptroller-General in charge of ICT/Modernisation, Oluyomi Adebakin, said the exercise builds on consultations held before and after the launch of Phase One of the NSW on March 27, 2026.
She described the NSW platform as a globally accepted trade facilitation tool that would improve efficiency, transparency and Nigeria’s competitiveness in international trade.
“Since the introduction of the National Single Window, the country has begun to experience its benefits. Nigeria’s standing in international trade is improving,” she said. Adebakin stressed that electronic manifest submission would not alter Customs’ statutory responsibilities but would simply provide a faster and more transparent method of processing documents.
She added that the platform would enhance trade facilitation, improve data integrity and strengthen anti-smuggling efforts.
National Coordinator of the National Single Window Project, Tola Fakolade, commended the NCS for supporting implementation of the initiative.
He disclosed that the platform has so far issued over 100,000 licences and permits while registering more than 1,000 users, describing the progress as a significant milestone in Nigeria’s trade modernisation programme.
Business
Firms expect borrowing cost to decline in 3 months
By Elizabeth Adegbesan
Firms are expecting borrowing cost for banks’ loans to decline in the next three months deapite seeing rates elevated in July.
This was contained in the Central Bank of Nigeria’s, CBN, latest Business Expectation Survey Report.
CBN said: “Respondents expect borrowing rates to remain elevated across the same periods, as indicated by the consistently positive borrowing rate indices.
“The relatively stable indices, fluctuating around 18-19 points, suggest expectations of a marginal decrease in borrowing costs over the near – to medium term.”
The survey report also showed that the Business Confidence Index was 5.7 points, reflecting continued optimistic sentiment among formal businesses on the macro economy.
According to CBN, Respondents’ positive sentiment on macro economy was largely underpinned by increased demand (22.3 percent ), economic diversification (21.4 percent) and access to finance (15 percent ), while more guarded views were primarily driven by inflation (27.7 percent), insecurity (22.4 percent) ongoing energy-related challenges (23.4 percent) and elevated geopolitical uncertainties (16.5 percent).
The outlook over the next six months, CBN maintained remains strong, with confidence indices in all sectors reflecting positive sentiment over the review periods.
During the review period, businesses identified high/multiple taxation (70.8), insecurity (69.7) and high interest rate (66.3) as the top three business constraints.
These were followed by unfavourable political climate (62.2) and high bank charges (62.0).
But competition (61.1) and unclear Economic Laws (58.4) ranked lower but remain significant.
CBN noted that at the bottom of the top ten constraints were financial constraints (56.6) and poor infrastructure (55.1) reflecting relatively lower, though still significant factors.
On expansion outlook, the electricity, water and gas sector posted the highest expansion outlook at 85.7 index points.
Nonetheless, employment expectations in August 2026 were mostly cautious across sectors, with the Mining & Quarrying sector having the most optimistic hiring outlook.
Business
Manufacturers’ confidence rebounds despite high borrowing costs, power woes
By Yinka Kolawole
Manufacturers’ confidence in Nigeria’s business environment rebounded in the second quarter of 2026 (Q2’26) buoyed by expectations of improved government policies and a more favourable operating climate. But the sector operators have continued to grapple with high borrowing costs, inadequate power supply, foreign exchange constraints and multiple taxation.
The latest Manufacturers CEO Confidence Index (MCCI) released by the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, MAN, showed that the aggregate index rose to 52.1 points in Q2 2026, up from 48.7 points in the first quarter (Q1’26) indicating a return to positive business sentiment.
Director General of MAN, Segun Ajayi-Kadir, said the improvement reflected manufacturers’ optimism about the direction of government reforms rather than any significant improvement in current operating conditions.
He stated: “The increase in the MCCI to 52.1 points signals renewed confidence among manufacturers, driven largely by expectations that recent policy initiatives, including the Nigeria Industrial Policy, the ‘Nigeria First’ Policy, Executive Orders 003 and 005, and the Nigeria Tax Act 2025, will improve the operating environment.”
He, however, noted that the optimism remained fragile as manufacturers continued to face severe operational challenges.
“The confidence expressed by manufacturers is largely forward-looking. Actual business and employment conditions during the second quarter remained weak, with both indicators still below the 50-point threshold, reflecting subdued business activity,” Ajayi-Kadir stated.
He listed limited access to finance, persistent electricity shortages, high production costs, inadequate foreign exchange availability, weak consumer demand and multiple taxation as the major constraints confronting manufacturers.
Ajayi-Kadir said manufacturers remained dissatisfied with the high cost of bank credit, attributing it to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy Rate, MPR, of 26.5 per cent.
“Commercial lending rates remain prohibitively high for manufacturers. The current monetary policy stance continues to constrain access to affordable financing needed for investment and expansion,” he said.
The MAN DG further expressed concern over continued regulatory bottlenecks and uncertainty surrounding the implementation of the Nigeria Tax Act 2025, saying manufacturers were yet to enjoy the full benefits of the reforms aimed at reducing multiple taxation and easing regulatory burdens.
Ajayi-Kadir added that although local sourcing of raw materials had improved, government ministries, departments and agencies were yet to substantially increase patronage of Made-in-Nigeria products as envisaged under the “Nigeria First” policy.
He urged the Federal Government to ensure strict compliance with the directive requiring MDAs to source at least 80 per cent of their procurement locally, while calling on the CBN to reduce the MPR to below 20 per cent and prioritise foreign exchange allocation to manufacturers to stimulate production and accelerate industrial growth.
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