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Businesses buckle under debt as defaults push bad loans to N21.2trn

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Businesses buckle under debt as defaults push bad loans to N21.2trn

High interest rates, FX shocks, end of COVID forbearance trigger spike in corporate loan failures

By Babajide Komolafe, Economy Editor

At the backdrop of economic pressures on households and businesses, banks are now struggling with a rising loan defaults by businesses,  leading to a significant increase in bad loans portfolio of banks to N21.2 trillion.

Financial Vanguard’s tracking of data on loans to customers by the top 11 banks as disclosed in their unaudited financial statements for the nine months ended Q3’25, showed that nine of the banks recorded an increase in bad loans (Non Performing Loans, NPL).

Amongst the 11 banks three of the Tier-1 banks recording increases in their NPLs while all the six Tier-2 banks recorded growth in NPLs.

Collectively, the NPLs of the 11 banks rose by five per cent to N21.2 trillion at the end of Q3’25 from N20.2 trillion at the end of Q4’24.  

A further breakdown of their loan portfolio showed that the Tier-1 banks took the largest share of the bad loans collectively recording a bad loan size of N17.63 trillion at the end of Q3’25 from N16.943 trillion at the end of Q4’24.

The Tier-2 banks collectively recorded a 10 per cent increase in NPLs to N3.54 trillion at end of  Q3’25 from N3.21 trillion at end of Q4’24.

Confirming this trend, the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, in its Financial Stability Report for June 30th, 2025, said: “The non-performing loans (NPLs) ratio increased to 5.76 per cent, above the regulatory benchmark of 5.00 per cent and 4.87 per cent recorded at end-December 2024.

“In addition, the ratio of NPLs net of provisions to capital increased to 13.90 per cent from 4.91 per cent at end-December 2024. The ongoing recapitalisation exercise of banks and sustained GSI implementation were expected to bolster loss-absorption buffers and preserve banking system stability.”

COVID-19 forbearance

Financial Vanguard investigations revealed that the upward trend in NPLs is being driven by two major factors.

First is the decision of the CBN to withdraw  regulatory forbearance on loans to households and businesses affected by the COVID 19 pandemic.  

The forbearance  measures  included a one-year extension of moratoriums on loan repayments. Banks were also allowed to consider time-limited restructuring of loan terms for sectors severely affected by the pandemic, including oil and gas and agriculture. Furthermore, the CBN reduced  interest rates on its intervention facilities to five  percent, though this was subsequently returned to nine  percent in July 2022.

In 2023, the CBN extended forbearance on certain prudential limits, including violations of the single obligor threshold and the net open position.

However, last year, the apex bank in a circular, announced measures to support banks to exit the forbearance regime. These include suspension of dividend payments, bonuses to directors and senior management and investments in foreign subsidiaries until capital levels and provisioning for NPLs  are fully restored to the regulatory threshold.

“This temporary suspension is until such a time as the regulatory forbearance is fully exited and the banks’ capital adequacy and provisioning levels are independently verified to be fully compliant with prevailing standards. This supervisory measure is intended to ensure that internal resources are retained to meet existing and future obligations and to support the orderly restoration of sound prudential positions,” the CBN said.    

Loan defaults

The second factor driving the increase   in banks’ NPLs is the   upward trend in loan defaults especially by businesses.  

According to the Credit Condition Report of CBN, banks recorded higher loan defaults by corporates in the last three quarters of 2025.  

In Q2’25, the CBN disclosed that, “Lenders reported higher default rates for Secured and Unsecured lending. For Corporate lending, all business types reportedly had higher default rates.”

Similarly, in Q3’25, the apex bank said: “Lenders reported lower default rates for Secured lending, while Unsecured and Corporate lending of all business types recorded higher default rates.”

Also in Q4’25, the CBN said: “Lenders reported higher default rates for Secured, Unsecured and all Corporate lending types in Q4 2025.”  

The post Businesses buckle under debt as defaults push bad loans to N21.2trn appeared first on Vanguard News.

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FCCPC to marketers: Cut petrol prices or face sanctions

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The Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) has warned oil marketers against exploiting consumers, saying the current retail prices of petrol do not reflect the sharp decline in global crude oil prices.

In a statement issued on Sunday, the Commission said its ongoing surveillance of the downstream petroleum sector had uncovered indications of consumer exploitation, as recent reductions in petrol prices by refiners, depot operators and marketers remain insignificant despite the sustained fall in crude oil prices.

According to the FCCPC, global crude oil prices have dropped to about 73 dollars per barrel following the ceasefire between the United States and Iran and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The agency noted that crude prices had climbed to about 120 dollars per barrel at the height of tensions in the Middle East between April and May, prompting a swift increase in petrol pump prices across Nigeria.

The Commission observed that while crude oil prices have now returned to levels recorded in February, retail fuel prices have remained relatively high.

It recalled that petrol sold for between ₦800 and ₦900 per litre in February, but rose sharply to between ₦1,350 and ₦1,500 per litre during the period of heightened geopolitical tensions. Despite the subsequent drop in crude oil prices, petrol is still being sold at an average of about ₦1,200 per litre, while some local refiners have fixed ex-depot prices between ₦1,025 and ₦1,075 per litre.

The Commission acknowledged that domestic fuel prices are influenced by several factors, including refining costs, foreign exchange fluctuations, logistics, financing and distribution expenses. However, it maintained that consumers should benefit from lower crude oil prices through competitive market pricing.

Executive Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of the FCCPC, Tunji Bello, said although the Commission does not regulate petrol prices in Nigeria’s deregulated downstream petroleum sector, it has a statutory responsibility to ensure consumers are protected from unfair and exploitative practices.

“To be clear, the Commission does not regulate or approve petroleum prices in a deregulated downstream market. Our responsibility under the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act, 2018, is to promote competitive markets, prevent anti-competitive conduct and protect consumers from unfair, deceptive and exploitative business practices,” Bello said.

He questioned why marketers often respond immediately by increasing pump prices whenever crude oil prices rise, yet delay passing on the benefits to consumers when prices fall.

“We are concerned that while dealers often respond swiftly by hiking pump prices whenever crude prices rise, it is curious that it is taking forever for consumers to benefit significantly when crude prices fall. Competitive markets must work fairly in both directions,” he added.

Bello warned that deregulation does not absolve businesses of the responsibility to compete fairly or respect consumer rights.

According to him, the Commission will investigate and sanction any company found engaging in anti-competitive conduct, consumer exploitation or any practice that violates the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act.

“Where credible evidence indicates conduct that undermines competition, exploits consumers or otherwise contravenes the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act, the Commission will investigate and take appropriate enforcement action,” he said.

He also urged Nigerians to continue reporting suspected price manipulation, anti-competitive practices and other unfair market behaviour through the Commission’s official complaint channels.

The FCCPC’s warning comes days after the Dangote Refinery reduced its ex-depot petrol price from ₦1,175 to ₦1,125 per litre, following the continued decline in international crude oil prices. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, recently fell to about 72.97 dollars per barrel, its lowest level since February.

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Agents fault FG’s Green Tax on imported vehicles, demand suspension

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By Godwin Oritse

The Association of Nigerian Licensed Customs Agents (ANLCA) has called on the Federal Government (FG) to suspend the implementation of the Green Tax Policy, scheduled to take off from July 1st, 2026,  citing inadequate stakeholder engagement by the implementing agency, the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS).

The association argued that key stakeholders, particularly licensed customs agents and importers, who will be directly affected by the policy were not sufficiently sensitised or consulted before its rollout.

In a statement signed by ANLCA President, Emenike Nwokeoji, yesterday, the association expressed concern that a fiscal policy with such far-reaching implications for import duty, cargo valuation, contractual obligations, shipping arrangements and business planning was communicated to only a section of the critical trading community in Lagos barely 72 hours before its proposed implementation.

“Even more astonishing was the extremely late invitation extended to stakeholders for the consultation meeting. Such an approach is insensitive, procedurally defective and inconsistent with the principles of fairness, inclusiveness, stakeholder engagement and due consultation that should ordinarily guide the implementation of major public policies.

“Fiscal policies of this magnitude ought to be preceded by adequate notice, extensive consultations with all relevant stakeholders across the country, comprehensive sensitisation and sufficient transitional periods to ensure seamless compliance.

Anything short of this undermines confidence in government policies, exposes legitimate businesses to avoidable financial losses and ultimately erodes the confidence of both local and foreign investors in Nigeria’s trade environment.”

The group also raised concern about the decision to subject shipments already in transit to Nigeria to the new levy.

“This amounts to a retrospective fiscal burden on importers and licensed customs agents who had already entered into binding commercial contracts based on the existing tariff regime. Such a development will inevitably result in severe financial losses and unnecessary disputes within the international trading community.

“Furthermore, the stakeholders’ meeting failed to adequately address critical implementation issues. For instance, there was no clear methodology provided for determining engine capacities for the purpose of Green Tax assessment.

“This ambiguity is capable of creating confusion, inconsistent assessments, avoidable disputes and ultimately leaving the trading public at the discretion of individual assessment officers.

“ANLCA remains committed to constructive engagement with the Federal Government and the Nigeria Customs Service in pursuit of policies that promote legitimate trade while achieving national objectives,” he said.

The association also made it clear that it is not challenging the authority of the Federal Government to formulate or implement fiscal policies. It, however, demanded the immediate suspension or postponement of the implementation of the Green Tax Policy until adequate stakeholder consultations have been conducted nationwide.

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Cost of Healthy Diet rises 3% to N1,589/day

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By Elizabeth Adegbesan

The national average Cost of a Healthy Diet (CoHD) rose by 3.12 percent month-on-month (MoM) to N1,589 per adult per day in April from N1,541 per adult per day in March 2026.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) disclosed this yesterday in its CoHD Report for April 2026, noting that the increase was driven by rising prices across all food groups except starchy staples.

it stated: “The national average Cost of a Healthy Diet was N1,589 in April 2026. This shows an increase of 3.12% when compared to the amount recorded in the previous month (March 2026 was N1,541).”

The Bureau noted that the CoHD rose faster than both general inflation and food inflation during the period.

On the cost of food share groups, the Bureau said animal source foods were the most expensive food group recommendations to meet in April, accounting for 40 percent of the total CoHD while providing 13 percent of the total calories.

“Fruits and vegetables were the most expensive food groups in terms of price per calorie; they accounted for 16 percent and 14 percent, respectively, of the total CoHD while providing only 7 percent and 5 percent, respectively, of the total calories in the Healthy Diet Basket.

“Legumes, Nuts, and Seeds were the least expensive food group on average, accounting for 7 percent of the total cost.”

On national, state and zonal trends, the NBS said: “The national average Cost of a Healthy Diet was N1,589 per adult per day in April 2026.

“At the state level, Ekiti, Imo and Bayelsa states recorded the highest costs at N2,036, N2,018 and N1,909, respectively. Adamawa, the Federal Capital Territory and Akwa Ibom State recorded the lowest costs at N1,143, N1,278 and N1,314, respectively.

“At the zonal level, the average CoHD was highest in the South-East Zone at N1,830 per day, followed by the South-West Zone at N1,753 per day.

“The lowest average Cost of a Healthy Diet was recorded in the North-East Zone at N1,415 per day.”

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