Business
Lower inflation figure still temporal, not stability — LCCI

By Yinka Kolawole
The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has stated that the latest inflation data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) indicates a temporary easing of inflationary momentum, not yet a convergence toward a low and stable inflation regime.
Recall that NBS, on Monday, reported that Nigeria’s headline inflation rate dropped to 15.1 percent in January, down from the 15.15 percent recorded in December 2025, adding that the food inflation rate also dropped by 20.74 points to 8.89 percent in January from 29.63 percent in December 2025.
But in a statement yesterday, Director General of LCCI, Dr Chinyere Almona, characterized the latest inflation outcome as a disinflationary signal rather than a structural turning point.
Her words: “While the outcome reflects an easing in short-term price momentum, LCCI considers the trend to be disinflationary but fragile, driven by a combination of cyclical, base-effect, and policy-induced factors rather than deep structural adjustment.
“From a decomposition standpoint, the slowdown is largely attributable to food price deceleration, exchange rate appreciation, and relative stability in domestic energy prices.
”The reduction in food inflation reflects improved post-harvest supply conditions and demand normalization after the festive period.
”Exchange rate gains moderated imported inflation and FX-pass-through into the core basket, while stable PMS pricing reduced second-round transport and logistics effects.
”These developments jointly lowered headline pressure in the short run and improved inflation expectations at the margin.
“The moderation reflects temporary alignment of food supply recovery, exchange rate stability, and energy price calm, reinforced by base effects. While this improves near-term business confidence, inflation remains structurally elevated and vulnerable to supply and FX shocks.”
Almona warned that the economy remains vulnerable to upside inflation risks from food supply disruptions, climate variability, insecurity in agricultural belts, oil price volatility, and renewed exchange rate pressure.
“Consequently, the present moderation should be interpreted as a temporary easing of inflationary momentum, not yet a convergence toward a low and stable inflation regime.
“Policy credibility in 2026 will depend not on headline inflation prints alone, but on the speed with which Nigeria converts cyclical disinflation into structural price stability through productivity, logistics efficiency, and macroeconomic coordination.”
The post Lower inflation figure still temporal, not stability — LCCI appeared first on Vanguard News.
Business
Nigeria’s challenge is low revenue, not high debt – World Bank
The World Bank has said Nigeria’s biggest fiscal challenge is weak revenue mobilisation rather than excessive borrowing, urging the government to prioritise efforts to boost revenue generation to support sustainable economic growth.
Speaking during an interview on Channels Television on Friday, the World Bank Country Director for Nigeria, Mathew Verghis, said Nigeria’s debt profile remains moderate by international standards and is significantly different from countries experiencing debt distress.
“From our assessment, Nigeria doesn’t have a high indebtedness problem; it has a low revenue problem,” Verghis said.
He explained that Nigeria’s debt-to-GDP ratio is lower than that of many comparable countries, stressing that concerns should focus on improving government revenue rather than limiting borrowing.
“When we looked at the numbers, Nigeria is a moderately indebted country, meaning it has less debt relative to its economy than most of its neighbours and many other countries,” he said.
“Nigeria is in a very different situation than Ghana, for example, which is going through a debt restructuring.”
Verghis defended government borrowing as a necessary tool for financing long-term investments that stimulate economic growth and improve living standards.
“Nigeria borrows for the same reasons that all countries borrow. If you want to deliver results to people, the money available on an annual basis is not enough. So you borrow, deliver results, and that improves your ability to repay,” he said.
He cited the expansion of electricity access as an example, noting that providing power to about 32 million Nigerians requires substantial upfront investment.
“To be able to connect and provide energy to 32 million Nigerians, Nigeria needs to borrow money now. But with increased access to energy, the country will become wealthier and better positioned to repay the loans,” he added.
The World Bank official, however, warned that low government revenue poses a greater threat to Nigeria’s fiscal sustainability than its current debt level.
“Nigeria’s debt is not particularly high, and in fact, it’s quite moderate by international standards. Its revenues are very low by international standards, and unless those revenues are raised, it will not be able to pay back debt,” Verghis said.
According to him, strengthening revenue mobilisation would enable the government to increase investments in infrastructure, healthcare, education and other sectors that drive job creation, improve human capital and reduce poverty over the long term.
The remarks come as the World Bank recently unveiled a new six-year Country Partnership Framework for Nigeria, which places job creation at the centre of its support for the country through investments in infrastructure, healthcare, agriculture and digital connectivity.
Business
FG increases domestic borrowing by 241%
By Elizabeth Adegbesan
As part of the Federal Government (FG) borrowing plan for the 2026 budget, the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, has issued Treasury Bills, TBs, to raise N5.8 trillion in the third quarter of 2026 (Q3’26).
This represents a 241 percent year-on-year (YoY) increase when compared to N1.76 trillion sold in Q3’25.
CBN disclosed this in its Nigeria Treasury Bills Issue programme for Q3’26.
Treasury Bills are short term (less than one year) debt instruments used by the apex bank to borrow money from the Nigerian public on behalf of the federal government. CBN also uses TBs to control money supply in the economy.
The TB issue programme commenced on July 1st, and ends on September 23rd, 2026. The settlement date began yesterday and ends on September 24th, 2026.
During the period, the apex bank will issue TBs worth N900 billion on 91 days tenor, N900 billion on 182 days and N4 trillion on 364 days.
A breakdown of the programme revealed that in July, the apex bank plans to issue N2 trillion worth of TBs, comprising N300 billion worth of 91 days bills, N300 billion worth of 182 days bills and N1.4 trillion worth of 364 bills.
In August, the apex bank issued N2.1 trillion worth of TBs, comprising N300 billion worth of 91 days bills, N300 billion worth of 182 days bills, and N1.5 trillion worth of 364 days bills.
In September, CBN plans to sell N1.7 trillion worth of TBs comprising N300 billion worth of 91 days bills, N300 billion worth of 182 days bills and N1.1 trillion worth of 384 days bills.
Business
EVs: Afreximbank wants Nigeria, other African countries to stop exporting Lithium
By Emma Ujah
President and Chairman of the Board of the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), Dr. George Elombi, has tasked African nations to stop the export of Lithium, the main raw material used in the production of electric vehicle (EV) batteries. Nigeria is a major exporter of Lithium in Africa, though most of the quantity is illegally exported.
Speaking at the bank’s Mid-Year Media Roundtable in Abuja on Wednesday, he said that rather than exporting raw lithium, African countries should use it to manufacture EV batteries on the continent.
He also said Afreximbank has sufficient funds to finance the production of EV batteries and is ready to provide the necessary funding to any individual or organisation willing to venture into the industry.
In his words, “African mineral resources must work for Africa’s development. EVs are the future of transportation, and the use of lithium to produce EV batteries is taking centre stage in the EV industry.
“Africa must take its position in the EV industry. We have lithium. We should produce EV batteries at home. We simply have to produce them here. There is enough money in Africa to manufacture batteries in Africa.
“If you know anyone who is interested in EV battery production, bring them to me. But if you see someone looking for funding to export lithium, don’t bring them to me.”
Dr. Elombi also said African leaders and institutions must work together to ensure that African funds held outside the continent are repatriated to support the region’s development.
Some rating agencies biased against Africa
Speaking on the bank’s credit ratings, Dr. Elombi, who advocated for African rating agencies, said some global rating agencies initially dismissed Afreximbank as too small and insignificant to drive Africa’s development, while questioning the bank’s trade finance mandate.
According to him, one agency’s 2014 assessment suggested that trade finance could not serve as a foundation for development and implied that the bank’s core mandate lacked relevance.
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