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ATIKU AND OBI PARTING OF WAYS: Why it’s difficult for the opposition to unite behind a single candidate

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ATIKU AND OBI PARTING OF WAYS: Why it’s difficult for the opposition to unite behind a single candidate

•Explains how some LP leaders frustrated him as Campaign DG

•Says: Obidient movement not synonymous with LP 

• ‘Why I didn’t defect to ADC’

By Dapo Akinrefon 

Chief Akin Osuntokun was the Director-General of the Obi-Datti Presidential 

Campaign Council ahead of the 2023 polls. In this interview, Osuntokun, 

a former Political Adviser to ex-President Olusegun Obasanjo, gives reasons the opposition may find it difficult in rallying behind a candidate to contest the 2027 presidential election. He also discloses how some Labour Party leaders frustrated him and others who were brought him to help the 2023 presidential candidate, Mr Peter Obi. Excerpts: 

You previously stated that the Labour Party was heading towards extinction due to internal saboteurs. Given that you defected to the ADC and Peter Obi just moved to the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), is the original third-force experiment officially dead?

 Well, I didn’t defect to ADC, so I’m not a member of ADC or any other party. The third force? With your reference to a third force, the presumption is that there are already in existence two parties you deemed of sufficient gravitas. I know of APC but which other party do you have in mind?

Peter Obi moved from the Labour Party to the ADC, and now to the NDC within a short period. As his former campaign manager, do you worry this rapid party-switching erodes his brand as a principled alternative?

 No, there are extenuating reasons for his departure from ADC. First is that the party is not prepared to zone the presidential ticket to the South. Given the factors that determine victory in party primaries in Nigeria, the only aspirant with a realistic chance of winning the primaries in the ADC is Vice President Atiku Abubakar. Second is the uncertainty beclouding the future of the party going forward. I’m talking about the legal issues. I hope, for the sake of the stability of the political party system, such issues will be resolved in favour of the ADC. I think he (Obi) has been vindicated by the prompt categorical declaration by the NDC that it has zoned the presidential ticket of the party to the South.

It was reported that Obi and Kwankwaso left the ADC coalition project because Atiku Abubakar claimed the party was “formed in his house”. What really happened behind the scenes during the failed ADC coalition talks?

 This is the first time I’m hearing of such claim by Abubakar. In any case, the fact that the party was formed in his house cannot mean that he holds proprietary rights over how the party conducts its affairs. As I said earlier, I’m not a member of the party so I wouldn’t know anything about what happens behind the scenes. I can only assume that the reason for the departure of Obi from the party has to do with its disposition towards the adoption of the principle that the presidential ticket presently is exclusive to Southern Nigeria.

 Some political analysts warn that Obi, Kwankwaso, and Atiku running on separate platforms will hand an easy victory to the APC. Why can the opposition leaders not unite behind a single candidate?

 That is the conventional wisdom and a correct reading of the potential of the APC to win the presidential election. It is a boon to the chances of a party that already wields substantial advantage in the realm of power politics. For whatever it is worth, getting the nod from 31 state governors cannot be dismissed as irrelevant. The opposition cannot unite behind a single candidate because they have conflicting visions of where Nigeria is headed. Remember that the fundamental reason behind the decision of Obi to leave the ADC coalition is the issue of power rotation. If he had stayed back, he would have to content himself with the role of running mate to Abubakar. Now, people can take positions regardless of whether it serves the cause of making their ambition realistic or not, that they would not subordinate their principles to personal ambition

What was the single biggest structural obstacle you faced when managing the Obi-Datti presidential campaign council?

 Well, there was the problem of working with the extant structures of the Labour Party from the national executive to the state party structures. In their understanding, the utility of the party offices was the mercenary use of the structure to generate money for personal embezzlement particularly from political office aspirants. Obi was a different kind of politician from those they were accustomed to who deal with them in the language of naira. So, they were frustrated with him right from the word go. The frustration was extended to those of us who came to work with Obi. They extorted us of the little money available. You can extrapolate this mentality from the behaviour of the former party chairman, Julius Abure and fellow travellers who lent themselves to the cause of internal subversion of Obi. You also remember the spectacle of the Arabambis and the Apampas. When Obi’s associates conducted due diligence on the list of polling agents (for payment of allowances) submitted by Abure. It was discovered that over 80 percent of them were ghosts

The Labour Party spokesperson recently admitted your departure left a massive void. Now that the core team has scattered across different parties, who truly owns the Obidient movement today?

 The Obidients movement was not synonymous with the Labour Party. It was and it is exclusive to Obi. So to the best of my knowledge, the Obidients have not scattered across different parties.

 Does the ADC possess the structures to challenge the ruling party without Obi?

 As I said earlier, I’m not a member of any party, so I don’t know the extent to which I can be identified as an opposition leader. This does not stop me from criticising the conduct of any public institution. Remember, I’m first and foremost a newspaper columnist. 

My understanding of the Nigerian problem is that it is systemic so I doubt if any part of the dysfunctional structure can be successfully isolated for durable redress. INEC, like any other dysfunctional manifestation is a symptom of this underlying disease. The electoral body is this consequential because it is the agency through which the big elephant of the Nigerian constitution namely the presidency is procured. Until that presidency is constitutionally trimmed to align with decentralisation and becomes federalism compliant, INEC will always come under unbearable pressure that it is unable to withstand. You can say that of any Nigerian public institution including the judiciary

 You previously protested against INEC alongside other opposition leaders. With the upcoming election cycles approaching, has Nigeria’s electoral infrastructure seen any genuine reform since 2023?

 This was the point I was making and you have struck the kernel on the head. The courts have become an accessory to the destabilisation of the political system. We are witness to how a court will deliver a judgement today and violate the same judgement tomorrow. It has become as ridiculous as that. This is also a symptom of the power politics unleashed by the present hyper-centralisation of power at the centre.

The post ATIKU AND OBI PARTING OF WAYS: Why it’s difficult for the opposition to unite behind a single candidate appeared first on Vanguard News.


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Fubara caused his own problem, may defect to NDC – Otubanjo 

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A director of research at the Nigerian Institute of International Affairs, Femi Otubanjo, has suggested that Rivers State Governor Siminalayi Fubara may defect to the Nigeria Democratic Congress, NDC, ahead of the 2027 elections.

Speaking during an appearance on Arise Television’s Morning Show on Thursday, Otubanjo said Fubara could emerge as a strong contender in the NDC if he joins the party.
According to him, the Rivers governor may, however, face political challenges if he defects while the 28 lawmakers opposed to him remain in office.

Otubanjo described Fubara’s political crisis as unfortunate, adding that the governor was partly responsible for his current predicament.

He added that Fubara’s emergence as governor was tied to the political structure of the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike.

He said: “Fubara will go to NDC and he will try. He might even win, but the danger for Fubara is that when he goes to NDC, and he still has the legislators, 28 of them around him, he might even be impeached before the election and that will make him less powerful and less formidable candidate.

“Overall I know that Fubara’s case has been a very bad one, but he, of course, he’s the one who got himself into it. You cannot, like they say, you cannot immediately go into a river and complain of being wet. He was part of that arrangement of allowing to be selected by one man, and now he has been deselected by the same man.”




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Plateau 2027: Ex-Speaker steps down from senate race, focuses on re-election bid

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Former Speaker of the Plateau State House of Assembly and member representing Pankshin North, Rt. Hon. Dewan Gabriel, has announced his decision to step down from contesting for the Senate seat of the Pankshin, Kanam, and Kanke, PKK, federal constituency on the platform of the Young Peoples Party, YPP, to seek re-election into the State House of Assembly in the 2027 general elections.

Hon. Gabriel had been widely tipped to contest for the senate seat after he reportedly purchased the nomination form for the contest but in an announcement on Wednesday, the ex-Speaker said he is stepping down from the senate bid to focus on the re-election into the State House of Assembly.

In the statement titled “Positive Impact to Humanity Phase 2, Pankshin North 2027,” the lawmaker said his decision came following extensive consultations with family members, political stakeholders, supporters, youths, elders, and associates across the constituency.

He stated that his decision was informed by the ongoing political discussions surrounding the senate seat in the PKK zone, the position of his party as an opposition platform, and the need to protect the unity and collective interest of the people.

Hon. Gabriel stressed that his decision is a “sacrifice made in the interest of peace and inclusiveness”, noting that he did not want to be seen as an obstacle to the widely expressed desire of the Ngas people in Pankshin North concerning the Senate position.

He further reaffirmed his opposition to any third-term agenda in the zone, maintaining that he remains committed to the anti-third-term movement and ready to support any credible candidate willing to resist attempts at tenure extension in PKK politics.




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‘Democracy can still work’ – David Mark on Atiku emerging ADC presidential candidate

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National Chairman of the African Democratic Congress, ADC, David Mark, has reacted to the emergence of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar as the party’s 2027 presidential candidate.

Mark said Atiku’s emergence as ADC’s presidential candidate is an indication that democracy can still work.

Atiku defeated former Minister of Transportation, Rotimi Amaechi and Mohammed Hayatu-Deen at the ADC’s presidential primary by a wide margin.

Speaking at the official collation and declaration of the results in Abuja, Mark said: “Today is not just about announcing a presidential candidate.

“Today is also about proving a point to Nigeria and to Nigerians.

“It is about proving that democracy can still work. Proving that political competition does not have to become political warfare. That a party can organize itself around principles instead of personalities. And that in a season of deep national anxiety, a bright future is still possible.

‘That is why this gathering matters. And that is why history will remember what we have done here Today.

“Let me begin by thanking every member of the African Democratic Congress for your steadfastness, your patience, your sacrifices, your understanding, and your faith in this party, especially in the face of daunting challenges. Many people doubted us. Some dismissed us. Others predicted confusion, division, and even outright collapse.”

Mark also commended Amaechi and the former Chairman of the Nigeria Economic Summit Group and former Chairman of NNDC, Hayatu-Deen.

He noted that the ADC is the only party that had three aspirants contesting for the presidential ticket.

“It is important to mention that we are the only political party to have 3 strong aspirants contest for the presidential ticket.

“This alone makes the ADC unique in its deep commitment to democracy and democratic practices,” he added.




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