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World Bank downgrades Nigeria’s 2026 economic growth to 4.1%

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By Yinka Kolawole,  with agency report

The World Bank has downgraded Nigeria’s economic growth projection to average of 4.1 percent in 2026.

In October 2025, World Bank  projected  Nigeria’s economy  will grow by 4.4 percent  in 2026 and 2027.

The bank also downgraded the projection for 2027 to 4.2 percent, while the growth forecast for 2028 was put at 4.3 percent.

In its April 2026 Africa Economic Update titled, ‘Making Industrial Policy Work in Africa,’ the global lender said the growth forecast is driven by more stable macroeconomic conditions and a gradual recovery in investment.

The bank said the services sector, particularly ICT, finance, and real estate will remain the primary engine of growth, while agriculture and industry are expected to expand more slowly due to structural constraints.

The institution also said inflation is projected to decline from 23 percent in 2025 to 14.9 percent in 2026, and further ease to 10.7 percent by 2028, reflecting the lagged impact of policy tightening and improving supply conditions.

“Although poverty remains elevated, it is expected to decline gradually as inflation eases, albeit more slowly due to higher fuel prices linked to the Middle East conflict.

“Rising oil prices could support fiscal and external balances, partly offset by capital flow volatility amid global uncertainty.

“However, business sentiment and reform momentum may be dampened by commodity price by commodity price volatility, tighter global financial conditions, security concerns, and policy uncertainty ahead of the 2027 elections,” World Bank stated.

The global lender  said economic activity in sub-Saharan Africa is projected to grow by 4.1 percent in 2026, unchanged from 2025.

According to the bank, the 2026 growth forecast for the region has been downgraded by 0.3 percentage points compared to its October 2025 projection.

“Across countries in the region, some large countries in the region have been revised downward in 2026; notably, Angola, Kenya, Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, and Zambia.

“Overall, about 60 percent of the countries in the region (29 of 47) recorded downward revisions to their 2026 growth forecasts,” the report said.

Despite the downgrade, the World Bank said economic activity across the region has been supported by improved macroeconomic stabilisation, including better inflation control, stronger domestic currencies, and easing fuel and food prices.

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S/East companies shutting down over rising energy costs — MAN

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S/East companies shutting down over rising energy costs — MAN

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has raised alarm over the worsening state of manufacturing activities in the South-East, warning that rising energy costs and poor access to finance are forcing many companies in the region to shut down.

Chairman of MAN for Anambra, Enugu and Ebonyi states, Lady Ada Chukwudozie, disclosed this during the MAN South-East Stakeholders’ Industry Conversation held in Awka, Anambra State.

The forum was convened to address concerns surrounding electricity regulation, billing transparency and declining industrial productivity across the region.

Chukwudozie said the few factories still operating were doing so at less than 30 per cent of installed capacity due to soaring electricity tariffs, high energy costs and limited access to credit facilities.

According to her, the harsh operating environment informed the decision to convene the stakeholders’ roundtable, stressing that the manufacturing sector remains critical to economic growth, industrialisation and job creation.

She warned that unless urgent measures are taken to address the challenges confronting manufacturers, industrial activities in the South-East could further deteriorate, with serious implications for employment and regional economic stability.

“The manufacturing sector cannot thrive in an environment of uncertainty,” she said.

She called for reforms in the power sector to be driven by transparency, accountability and measurable performance standards, including agreed electricity supply hours, actual delivery levels and compensation mechanisms where supply consistently falls below expectations.

Chukwudozie also urged regulatory authorities to strengthen oversight of electricity providers and improve power supply to industrial clusters across the South-East.

Stakeholders at the forum expressed concern that manufacturers were increasingly struggling to cope with escalating production costs, worsened by unreliable electricity supply and the rising cost of alternative energy sources.

They noted that without affordable and stable energy, many more companies could either scale down operations or shut down completely.

In his keynote address, former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission, NERC, Dr. Sam Amadi, urged governments in the South-East to adopt deliberate policies aimed at prioritising electricity supply to industrial clusters.

Amadi also advocated pricing frameworks that would encourage manufacturers to expand production and invest in growth.

The stakeholders’ meeting brought together manufacturers, regulators and other industry players to explore practical solutions to revive industrial output and tackle persistent power challenges affecting businesses in the region.

The post S/East companies shutting down over rising energy costs — MAN appeared first on Vanguard News.

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Nigeria’s GDP growth rises 3.89% in Q1’26

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Nigeria’s GDP growth rises 3.89% in Q1’26

By Elizabeth Adegbesan 

Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose to 3.89 per cent in the first quarter of this year, Q1’26, representing a 0.76 percentage point increase from the 3.13 per cent recorded in the same period of 2025, Q1’25.

However, the GDP growth in Q1’26, represents a 0.18 percentage points decline from the 4.07 per cent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2025, Q4’25.

Disclosing these yesterday, the National Bureau of Statistics, NBS, stated: “Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 3.89% (year-on-year) in real terms in the first quarter of 2026, higher than the 3.13% recorded in the first quarter of 2025. During the quarter under review, agriculture grew by 3.15%, an improvement from the 0.07% recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2025. 

“The growth of the industry sector stood at 3.50% from 3.42% recorded in the first quarter of 2025, while the services sector recorded a growth of 4.31% from 4.33% in the same quarter of 2025.

“In terms of share of the GDP, the services sector contributed more to the aggregate GDP in the first quarter of 2026 at 57.73% compared to the corresponding quarter of 2025 at 57.50%. 

“Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 3.89 percent (year-on-year) in real terms in the first quarter of 2026, higher than the 3.13 percent recorded in the first quarter of 2025.”

NBS noted that during the quarter under review, the services sector contributed more to the aggregate GDP at 57.73 percent.

“The real growth of the oil sector was 2.57 (year-on-year) in Q1 2026, indicating an increase of 0.70% points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2025 (1.87%). Growth decreased by 4.22% points when compared to Q4 2025, which was 6.79%. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the oil sector recorded a growth rate of 9.31% in Q1 2026. 

“The Oil sector contributed 3.92% to the total real GDP in Q1 2026, down from the figure recorded in the corresponding period of 2025 at 3.97%. and up from the preceding quarter, where it contributed 2.87%. 

“The non-oil sector grew by 3.94% in real terms during the reference quarter (Q1 2026). This rate was higher by 0.75% points compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2025, which was 3.19%, and lower than the 3.99% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2025. 

“In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 96.08% to the nation’s GDP in the first quarter of 2026, higher than the share recorded in the first quarter of 2025, which was 96.03%, and lower than the fourth quarter of 2025, recorded as 97.13%.” 

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Manufacturers dump diesel for gas as energy costs soar

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Oil marketers buy 518,500 metric tones of diesel, aviation fuel in five months

By Yinka Kolawole

Manufacturing firms across Nigeria are increasingly turning to natural gas as rising diesel prices continue to push up production costs and threaten profitability in the industrial sector.

Industry stakeholders said the shift has become necessary as manufacturers grapple with high energy costs, unstable power supply and foreign exchange pressures that have worsened the operating environment for businesses.

Chairman of the Board of the Niger Delta Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Trade, Mines and Agriculture, Idaere Gogo Ogan, said effective utilisation of gas could transform industrial operations and revive struggling businesses in the Niger Delta region.

Speaking through the Board Secretary, Chief Solomon Edebiri, at a business and investment forum organised by Shell Nigeria Gas in Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Ogan lamented that more than 500 companies in the Niger Delta had shut down operations in recent years due to harsh economic and operational conditions.

“Effective utilisation of gas can significantly reshape industrial practices and revive business activity in the region,” he stated.

The forum brought together stakeholders in the energy and manufacturing sectors to explore ways of reducing operating costs and improving productivity through gas adoption.

The growing shift toward gas-powered operations comes amid sustained increases in diesel prices, driven partly by tensions in the Middle East and volatility in global energy markets.

According to the environmental certification organisation, Gold Standard, developing countries account for between 350 gigawatts and 500 gigawatts of diesel generator capacity spread across an estimated 20 million to 30 million sites, with generator output in many cases exceeding the capacity of national grids.

goldstandard.org

The organisation noted that diesel-generated power remains expensive, averaging about $0.30 per kilowatt-hour and significantly higher in remote areas with poor electricity access. It added that annual global spending on generator fuel ranges between $30 billion and $50 billion.

At the forum, Shell Nigeria Gas disclosed that two new industrial customers – Intercontinental Distillers Limited II and Rumbu Industries Limited – had been added to its gas distribution network in Agbara, Ogun State.

The company said the development increased the number of firms using its gas solutions to more than 150 across Abia, Bayelsa, Ogun and Rivers states.

Speaking on behalf of the Managing Director of Shell Nigeria Gas, Ralph Gbobo, the company’s Head of Gas Distribution, Chukwuka Amos-Ejesi, said manufacturers switching to gas were already benefiting from lower and more stable energy costs.

According to him, firms adopting natural gas enjoy reduced exposure to volatile fuel prices, improved operational efficiency, better planning certainty and stronger competitiveness.

“Companies that transition to natural gas consistently benefit from lower and more predictable energy costs, reduced exposure to liquid fuel price volatility, enhanced operational uptime, improved planning certainty and a stronger competitive offering for their customers,” he said.

Shell Nigeria Gas added that natural gas offers both economic and environmental advantages over diesel, especially as manufacturers continue to battle soaring energy costs and unreliable electricity supply.

The company disclosed that gas supply to Intercontinental Distillers Limited II and Rumbu Industries Limited was equivalent to about four megawatts of electricity, a development expected to improve production efficiency and lower operating costs.

Stakeholders at the forum included representatives of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, Bank of Industry, Manufacturers Association of Nigeria and the Port Harcourt Chamber of Commerce.

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