Business
LEDU projects N73.15tr GDP for Lagos in 2026
By Seth Ukochukwu
The Lagos Development Update, LEDU, 2026 report has projected significant expansion in the state’s economy, with nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expected to rise to N73.15 trillion this year from N62.66 trillion in 2025, supported by easing inflation, stronger consumption, and improved revenue mobilisation.
Speaking at the presentation of the report, Commissioner, Ministry of Economic Planning and Budget, Lagos State, Mr. Ope George, said that the LEDU 2026 report, with the theme, “Lagos Economic Outlook 2026: Consolidating Resilience, Advancing Competitiveness, Delivering Shared Prosperity”, provides a comprehensive assessment of Lagos State’s economic performance, fiscal position, structural dynamics, and forward-looking policy direction.
He added that, “Lagos State’s economy continued to expand, with Nominal Gross Domestic Product estimated at N62.66 trillion in 2025. Growth, though moderating relative to the immediate post-pandemic rebound, reflects a normalization toward sustainable expansion rather than a slowdown.
“Looking ahead to 2026, the outlook is cautiously optimistic. Nominal GDP is projected to rise to N73.15 trillion, representing growth of approximately 16.7 percent. Inflation is expected to moderate further to 17.59 percent, with food inflation easing to 17.14 percent. These projections provide a stronger macroeconomic foundation for fiscal operations under the 2026 Budget of Shared Prosperity.”
According to the LEDU 2026 report, the projected GDP expansion is expected to strengthen revenue performance and increase the government’s capacity to finance infrastructure development.
The report noted that stronger economic activity would enhance Internally Generated Revenue (IGR), VAT receipts, and other consumption-based taxes, thereby increasing fiscal space for capital projects under the 2026 budget framework.
To achieve the projected growth in GDP, the report recommended that, “The immediate policy priority for 2026 is macroeconomic and service-delivery stabilization, particularly in the context of rising population pressures and growing demand for public services.
“In the short term, government policy is expected to focus on completion of ongoing infrastructure projects, particularly in transport, energy, housing, and urban services, to avoid cost overruns and unlock economic returns.
“Stabilization of core social services, especially healthcare and education, supported by substantial nominal increases in sectoral allocations.
“Managing recurrent expenditure growth, which rose sharply to N2.11 trillion in 2026, to ensure that rising personnel and overhead costs do not crowd out capital investment. The emphasis on infrastructure sustainability and service continuity reflects the expectation that the government must first stabilize systems and delivery platforms before pursuing more ambitious reforms.”
Business
Banks, insurers, others record 8.5% growth in GDP to N1.93trn

By Babajide Komolafe
Financial institutions including banks and insurance firms recorded a 8.5 per cent growth in real Gross Domestic Product, GDP to N1.9 trillion in the first quarter of 2026, Q1’26 from N1.78 trillion in Q1’25.
The National Bureau of Statistics, NBS disclosed this in its GDP report for Q1’26. The report showed that the financial institutions sub-sector remained the dominant driver of activity, contributing N1.75 trillion in Q1 2026, up from N1.61 trillion in the corresponding period of 2025. This reflects an increase of about 8.4%, underscoring sustained expansion in banking operations, credit delivery, and financial intermediation.
The insurance sub-sector also recorded steady growth, rising to N180.95 billion in Q1 2026 from N164.58 billion in Q1 2025, representing an increase of approximately 9.9%. The performance signals gradual improvement in risk underwriting, premium generation, and broader market penetration.
The NBS in its report stated: “The Finance and Insurance Sector consists of the two subsectors, Financial Institutions, and Insurance, in which the former accounted for 90.62% and the latter 9.38% of the sector, respectively in real terms in Q1 2026.
“The sector grew at 46.91% in nominal terms (year-on-year), with the growth rate of Financial Institutions at 46.71% and 48.80% growth rate recorded for Insurance. The overall rate was higher than Q1 2025 by 25.89% points, and higher by 20.33% points than the preceding quarter.
“The quarter-on quarter growth was 18.86%. The sector’s contribution to the nominal GDP was 3.83% in Q1 2026, higher than the 3.07% it represented a year previous, and higher than the contribution of 2.91% it made in the preceding quarter.
“Growth in this sector in real terms totaled 8.54%, lower by 6.49% points from the rate recorded in the 2025 first quarter and higher by 0.24% points from the rate recorded in the preceding quarter.
“Quarter-on-quarter, growth in real terms stood at 17.77%. The contribution of Finance and Insurance to real GDP totalled 3.76%, higher than the contribution of 3.60% recorded in the first quarter of 2025 by 0.16% points, and higher than 2.56% recorded in Q4 2025 by 1.20% points.”
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Business
Credit to government surges 65.6% to N39.6trn

•As currency outside banks drops 12% to N5.08tr
By Babajide Komolafe & Elizabeth Adegbesan
Credit to the government rose by 65.6 per cent year-on-year, YoY, to N39.6 trillion in April 2026 from N23.9 trillion in April 2025, driven by increased borrowing to finance the 2026 budget deficit.
The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, disclosed this in its latest Money and Credit Statistics.
Under the Appropriation Act 2026, the Federal Government plans to borrow N29.2 trillion, to fund the gap between the revenue of N68.32 trillion and expenditure of N36.87 trillion.
Vanguard analysis showed that the Federal Government increased borrowing from domestic investors by 7.4 per cent to N8.1 trillion in the first quarter of 2026 from N7.5 trillion in the same period of 2025.
The CBN data also showed that credit to the private sector rose by 3.25 per cent to N80.6 trillion in April 2026 from N78.06 trillion in April 2025.
Consequently, net domestic credit rose by 17.8 per cent to N120.2 trillion in April 2026 from N102 trillion in the corresponding period last year.
Following the same trend, Nigeria’s broad money supply (M2) increased by 4.8 per cent YoY to N124.98 trillion in April 2026 from N119.2 trillion recorded in April 2025, reflecting improved liquidity in the financial system.
Further breakdown of the money supply components showed that currency outside banks declined by 12.2 per cent to N5.08 trillion in April 2026 from N5.7 trillion in the corresponding period of 2025, indicating increased use of banking channels and electronic payment systems.
However, demand deposits (current accounts) increased by 6.3 per cent to N38.7 trillion from N36.4 trillion during the review period.
Also quasi-money increased by 3.8 per cent to N81.2 trillion in April 2026 from N78.2 trillion in April 2025. Quasi money includes money in savings accounts, time deposits, treasury bills and other money market instruments.
Narrow money, which includes currency in circulation and current accounts, also grew by 7.09 per cent to N43.8 trillion from N40.9 trillion.
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Business
Maritime lawyers seeks stronger legal framework for NSW

By Godwin Oritse
The Nigerian Maritime Law Association, NMLA, has called for a robust legal and regulatory framework to ensure the successful implementation of the National Single Window, NSW, project in Nigeria.
According to the association, the National Single Window initiative of the Federal Government is designed to improve operational efficiency through faster cargo clearance processes, greater transparency in regulatory procedures, and enhanced coordination among government agencies involved in maritime trade and port operations.
Speaking at the 4th Breakfast meeting of the NMLA, Mr. Mike Igbokwe, Senior Advocate of Nigeria, SAN, who is also President of the group said that the initiative represents a major shift towards the digitalisation of processes within the maritime sector and is expected to promote ease of doing business, reduce bottlenecks at the ports, and strengthen Nigeria’s trade competitiveness.
Speaking on the theme of the meeting, “Regulatory Reforms and the National Single Window (NSW) Project,” Igbokwe noted that Nigeria’s maritime sector is characterised by the involvement of multiple regulatory agencies with overlapping responsibilities, resulting in duplication of functions, efforts and costs.
He further observed that the traditional processes within the sector remain fragmented and largely manual, leading to delays in cargo clearance, increased cost of doing business, rising inflation, and higher prices of imported raw materials and manufactured goods.
He said: “NSW will be of benefit to members of NMLA as maritime lawyers and IT experts as there will be a need to update regulatory frameworks, data governance and cybersecurity considerations, contractual and liability adjustments in trade transactions and greater reliance on electronic records and systems.”
“Nigeria does not lack good regulatory frameworks but usually lacks the political will and determination for implementing, monitoring and supervising the legislation.
“The National Single Window Project represents a transformative regulatory reform capable of modernizing Nigeria’s trade and maritime sector. If effectively implemented, it can significantly improve efficiency, transparency, revenue generation, and ease of doing business.
“However, its success will depend not only on technology, but also on strong political will, institutional cooperation, legal reforms, and sustained stakeholder engagement.”
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