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Consumers express pessimism on macroeconomy, first time since Nov 2025

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By Elizabeth Adegbesan

Consumers have expressed pessimism on the macroeconomy, first time since November 2025, as their overall sentiment stood at -10.3 index points in March compared to 0.8 index point in February.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) disclosed this yesterday in its March 2026 Household Expectation Survey Report.

“The Overall Consumer Sentiments in March 2026 stood at -10.3 index points compared to 0.8index points recorded in February 2026, indicating a pessimistic outlook on the macroeconomy for the first time since November 2025.

“The Economic Conditions index posted –14.5 points in March 2026, indicating a pessimistic outlook among Household respondents regarding current economic conditions.

“Family Financial Situation Index stood at –14.7 points in March 2026, reflecting respondents’ pessimistic views about their household finances.

“Family Income Sentiments recorded -1.3 index points in March 2026, indicating a mild pessimistic outlook on Family income.”

The report showed households perceived prices to be high compared to the February 2026 and expects further moderate rise in price in the next six months.

“The Consumer Sentiments Index on price changes registered 40 points in March 2026, indicating that households perceived prices to have risen compared to the previous month.  

“Looking ahead, they expect price levels to remain moderately high over the next six months.

“Most households surveyed (66.4 percent) expect the Nigerian economy to deteriorate if prices increase at a rate higher than the current level.”

On the other hand, the CBN Business Expectation Survey Report for March 2026 showed that businesses were confident in the macroeconony as their Confidence Index stood at 15.6 index point.

“The Confidence index in March 2026 stood at 15.6 index points, reflecting optimism among respondents regarding the macroeconomy. This optimism is expected to improve gradually to 43.9 index points in the next six months.

“All the sectors expressed optimism about the macroeconomy with the Agriculture Sector recording the highest confidence.

“The Mining & Quarrying sector had the highest prospects for employment while the Agriculture sector had the highest plan for expansion in April 2026.

“The Manufacturing sector recorded the highest capacity utilisation in the current month”

However, respondents fingered insufficient power supply (74.5), insecurity (70.9), high/multiple taxes (69.2), high interest rate (66.6), and financial problems (64.3) as the top five (5) business constraints in March 2026, highlighting factors that directly impact operational stability and profitability.

According to CBN, the findings in the review period highlight the need for improvements in energy supply, security conditions, and the regulatory/financial environment to enhance business stability and profitability.

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Credit to government surges 65.6% to N39.6trn

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CBN act

•As currency outside banks drops 12% to N5.08tr

By Babajide Komolafe & Elizabeth Adegbesan

Credit to the government rose by 65.6 per cent year-on-year, YoY, to N39.6 trillion in April 2026 from N23.9 trillion in April 2025, driven by increased borrowing to finance the 2026 budget deficit.

The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, disclosed this in its latest Money and Credit Statistics.

    

Under the Appropriation Act 2026, the Federal Government plans to borrow N29.2 trillion, to fund the gap between the   revenue of N68.32 trillion and expenditure of N36.87 trillion.

Vanguard analysis showed that   the Federal Government increased borrowing from domestic investors by 7.4 per cent to N8.1 trillion in   the first quarter of 2026 from   N7.5 trillion in the same period of 2025.

The CBN data also showed that credit to the private sector rose by 3.25 per cent to N80.6 trillion in April 2026 from N78.06 trillion in April 2025.

Consequently, net domestic credit rose by 17.8 per cent to N120.2 trillion in April 2026 from N102 trillion in the corresponding period last year.

Following the same trend, Nigeria’s broad money supply (M2) increased by 4.8 per cent YoY to N124.98 trillion in April 2026 from N119.2 trillion recorded in April 2025, reflecting improved liquidity in the financial system.

Further breakdown of the money supply components showed that   currency outside banks declined by 12.2 per cent to N5.08 trillion in April 2026 from N5.7 trillion in the corresponding period of 2025, indicating increased use of banking channels and electronic payment systems.

However, demand deposits (current accounts)   increased by 6.3 per cent to N38.7 trillion from N36.4 trillion during the review period.

Also quasi-money   increased by 3.8 per cent to N81.2 trillion in April 2026 from N78.2 trillion in April 2025. Quasi money includes money in savings accounts, time deposits, treasury bills and other money market instruments.    

Narrow money, which includes currency in circulation and current accounts,   also grew by 7.09 per cent to N43.8 trillion from N40.9 trillion. 

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Maritime lawyers seeks stronger legal framework for NSW 

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Sustaining Maritime Sector: Capacity building and knowledge transfer in Africa

By Godwin Oritse

The Nigerian Maritime Law Association, NMLA, has called for a robust legal and regulatory framework to ensure the successful implementation of the National Single Window, NSW, project in Nigeria.

According to the association, the National Single Window initiative of the Federal Government is designed to improve operational efficiency through faster cargo clearance processes, greater transparency in regulatory procedures, and enhanced coordination among government agencies involved in maritime trade and port operations.

Speaking at the 4th Breakfast meeting of the NMLA,    Mr. Mike Igbokwe, Senior Advocate of Nigeria, SAN, who is also President of the group said that the   initiative represents a major shift towards the digitalisation of processes within the maritime sector and is expected to promote ease of doing business, reduce bottlenecks at the ports, and strengthen Nigeria’s trade competitiveness.

Speaking on the theme of the meeting, “Regulatory Reforms and the National Single Window (NSW) Project,” Igbokwe noted that Nigeria’s maritime sector is characterised by the involvement of multiple regulatory agencies with overlapping responsibilities, resulting in duplication of functions, efforts and costs.

He further observed that the traditional processes within the sector remain fragmented and largely manual, leading to delays in cargo clearance, increased cost of doing business, rising inflation, and higher prices of imported raw materials and manufactured goods.

He said: “NSW will be of benefit to members of NMLA as maritime lawyers and IT experts as there    will be a need to update regulatory frameworks, data governance and cybersecurity considerations, contractual and liability adjustments in trade transactions and   greater reliance on electronic records and systems.”

“Nigeria does not lack good regulatory frameworks but usually lacks the political will and determination for implementing, monitoring and supervising the legislation.

“The National Single Window Project represents a transformative regulatory reform capable of modernizing Nigeria’s trade and maritime sector. If effectively implemented, it can significantly improve efficiency, transparency, revenue generation, and ease of doing business.

“However, its success will depend not only on technology, but also on strong political will, institutional cooperation, legal reforms, and sustained stakeholder engagement.”

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Nigeria, Türkiye move to strengthen mining operations with MoU signing

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Nigeria, Türkiye move to strengthen mining operations with MoU signing

By Gabriel Ewepu

Nigeria, Türkiye Deepen Mining Cooperation Through New MoU”

The Federal Republic of Nigeria and the Republic of Türkiye have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) aimed at strengthening mining operations, deepening technical collaboration, and expanding investment flows between both countries in the solid minerals and energy sectors.

“The MoU signed by the Nigerian Minister of Solid Minerals Development, Dr Dele Alake and Türkiye’s Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, Alparslan Bayraktar, also marks a significant step towards deepening economic collaboration between both countries,” according to a statement signed by the Special Assistant on Media to the Minister, Lara Owoeye-Wise.

Alake said Nigeria is positioning itself to benefit from Türkiye’s technological strength and industrial experience in mining development. “Nigeria is ready to leverage Türkiye’s technological advancement and expertise in mining exploration, training, digitisation, licensing systems, and capacity building to accelerate reforms and growth within the sector.”

He added, “Türkiye is one of the countries we are confident of building strong bilateral cooperation with, particularly in the area of solid minerals development. Nigeria is open to working with the Turkish government to strengthen governance structures, improve technical capacity, and advance sustainable mining development in our country.”

The minister noted that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has fully endorsed efforts to deepen cooperation with Türkiye in mining and energy. “President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has given full backing to efforts aimed at strengthening bilateral relations with Türkiye in the mining and energy sectors.”

Alake also highlighted ongoing reforms in Nigeria’s mining sector. “We have significantly improved the ease of doing business and strengthened institutional support for investors. Investors can now repatriate profits after due process,” he said, adding that “the reforms have already triggered increased inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into the sector.”

On enforcement, he stated: “Over 300 illegal mining operators, including foreign nationals, have been arrested, while more than 150 prosecutions are currently ongoing. In addition, over 100 illegal mining sites have been recovered and returned to legitimate licence owners.”

Responding, Türkiye’s Minister, Alparslan Bayraktar, described the partnership as strategic. “We are ready to invest in Nigeria because of the remarkable initiatives your government has put in place. We look forward to cooperation, support, and guidance that will enable both countries to achieve meaningful results.”

He added that “global energy security now demands stronger international cooperation and connectivity,” while also noting Türkiye’s interest in expanding investments into Nigeria’s mining, energy, and hydrocarbon sectors.

“Nigeria is a major player in the hydrocarbon industry. We would appreciate it if you convey to your President our desire to renew energy cooperation and contracts with Nigeria,” he said.

Alake also stressed that global stability is essential for energy security, stating: “Without reducing conflicts around the world, economic imperatives and global energy security efforts will continue to face significant challenges.”

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