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Manufacturing export stagnates despite rising trade value 

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The contribution of manufactured goods to Nigeria’s export basket has stagnated for four consecutive years despite a sharp rise in the country’s total export value, latest figures from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) have shown.

The NBS data indicated that though total export value rose by 9.93 per cent year-on-year (YoY) to N85.13 trillion in 2025, manufactured exports stood at N2.5 trillion, accounting for 2.94 per cent of the total exports, a decline from 2.96 percent recorded in the previous year, 2024.

In 2024, total exports surged by 115 per cent YoY to N77.44 trillion, while manufactured exports stood at N2.29 trillion, representing 2.96 per cent.

Similarly, in 2023, total exports stood at N35.96 trillion, while manufactured exports amounted to N778.44 billion, accounting for 2.16 per cent, while in 2022, Nigeria recorded total exports of N26.8 trillion, with manufactured exports at N781 billion or 2.91 per cent.

However, in 2021, manufactured exports accounted for a relatively higher share of 5.21 per cent, with total exports at N18.91 trillion while manufactured exports stood at N984.56 billion.

This shows that manufacturing contribution to total exports had recorded steady decline after its significant 5.21 percent recorded in 2021. The decline is coming at the backdrop of consistent rise in total export value over the period.

It also indicates a failure in the government’s value added export policies over the years.

Stakeholders in the sector observed that structural bottlenecks have continued to constrain the manufacturing sector’s ability to compete in the international market.

Manufacturers blame structural weaknesses

Manufacturers have attributed the development to a harsh operating environment that continues to erode competitiveness.

Key stakeholders in the nation’s manufacturing sector say the weak contribution of manufactured goods in the export basket is related to deep structural weaknesses in the economy.

They attributed the trend to Nigeria’s long-standing dependence on raw and minimally processed exports, noting that the country has yet to transition to value-added production.

Exporters under the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria Export Promotion Group, MANEG, said the trend highlights deep-rooted challenges in Nigeria’s export ecosystem and underscores the urgent need for practical reforms.

Chairman of MANEG, Mrs Odiri Erewa-Meggison, said the country must move beyond policy formulation to effective implementation to unlock export opportunities.

According to her, Nigeria’s challenge is not access to markets but poor execution of trade strategies.

“Nigeria does not have a market access problem; we have an execution problem. African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) presents a $3.4 trillion opportunity across 1.3 billion people, but access without readiness delivers no value,” she stated.

Erewa-Meggison, who is also the Corporate and Regulatory Affairs Director at BAT Nigeria, noted that while AfCFTA offers vast opportunities for Nigerian businesses, the country remains largely unprepared to maximise the benefits.

She disclosed that over 70 per cent of Nigerian food exports are rejected in international markets, while about 30 per cent of manufactured exports fail due to poor packaging, labelling, traceability, and certification challenges.

According to her, the high rejection rate reflects weak quality assurance systems, poor logistics infrastructure and inadequate technical expertise across the export value chain.

She added that many manufacturers currently operate below capacity, not because of a lack of ambition, but due to inadequate access to technical support for export documentation, utilisation of AfCFTA tariff benefits and engagement with global buyers.

To address the challenges, Erewa-Meggison proposed reforms anchored on four critical pillars: improved quality standards, efficient logistics systems, access to export financing, and effective domestication of AfCFTA frameworks.

While acknowledging the role of government in creating an enabling environment, she urged manufacturers to take greater responsibility for export readiness by complying with international standards, forming strategic partnerships and leveraging available trade platforms.

According to her, promoting value-added manufacturing is a sustainable pathway to increasing Nigeria’s share of global trade and boosting foreign exchange earnings.

On his part, Director General of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), Segun Ajayi-Kadir, reiterated that high energy costs, poor infrastructure, and policy inconsistencies have made it increasingly difficult for local producers to compete in international markets.

Ajayi-Kadir noted that many manufacturers are burdened by rising production costs, particularly from energy and logistics.

“You cannot compete globally when your cost of production is significantly higher than your competitors. That is the reality Nigerian manufacturers face daily,” he added.

It signals fundamental imbalance in export structure – CPPE  

Chief Executive Officer of Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Dr Muda Yusuf, said the development underscores a fundamental imbalance in Nigeria’s export structure.

“What we are seeing is growth without industrial depth. Our export expansion is still commodity-driven, and until we scale up value addition, manufacturing will remain insignificant in export performance,” he said.

Quality, standardisation challenges compound problem

Meanwhile, industry operators also blame quality and standardisation challenges which they said have further compounded the problem.

According to them, a significant proportion of Nigerian exports are rejected in international markets due to poor packaging, labelling, and failure to meet required standards.

A senior official at the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC) who pleaded anonymity stressed that export readiness remains weak among local producers.

“Access to markets is not the issue; preparedness is. Many exporters are not meeting the technical requirements needed to succeed globally,” the official said.

Stakeholders also argue that Nigeria has not fully leveraged opportunities under the AfCFTA, which offers a vast regional market for manufactured goods.

Beyond market access, experts cite limited industrial capacity, weak financing structures, and inadequate integration into global value chains as key constraints holding back manufactured exports.

They, however, agree that reversing the trend will require deliberate policy action, including improved infrastructure, affordable energy, enhanced quality control systems, and targeted export incentives.

Until then, analysts warn, Nigeria’s export growth may continue to rise on paper, but without the industrial backbone needed for sustainable economic transformation.

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Stewardship, not seizure: What the Union Bank case is really about

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Stewardship, not seizure: What the Union Bank case is really about

By Cynthia Alo

There is a particular genre of financial commentary that mistakes legal process for a factual verdict. A court delivers a first-instance ruling, procedural questions are raised, and before the ink is dry on the appeal filing, the narrative has already hardened: the regulator overreached, investor confidence is shattered, and Nigeria’s financial governance is on trial before the world.

Much of the commentary currently circulating about Union Bank of Nigeria belongs to that genre. It is not without merit on certain procedural questions.

But it is, at its core, incomplete — and incompleteness in financial journalism carries costs that run well beyond the column.

The Acquisition That Started Everything

In 2022, Titan Trust Bank Limited, then chaired by Mr Tunde Lemo, acquired approximately 94 per cent of Union Bank of Nigeria through two Dubai-registered entities: Luxis International DMCC, promoted by Mr Rahul Savara, and Mr. Cornelius Vink’s Magna International DMCC, both linked to the Tropical General Investments (TGI) Group.

The US$300 million transaction was financed predominantly through an Afreximbank facility.

The CBN’s policy is unambiguous: borrowed funds may not be used to acquire shares in a licensed financial institution. That principle exists because debt-funded acquisitions hollow out the very capital base they purport to build.

That is precisely what happened. A forensic audit found that the Afreximbank loan was ultimately reflected in Union Bank’s own books, with no hedging arrangements against naira depreciation. As the currency weakened, revaluation losses intensified, the capital adequacy ratio deteriorated into negative territory, non-performing loan exposure increased significantly, and a substantial capital shortfall emerged. Critically, as stated in the Bank’s own Notice of Appeal, a special examination was conducted, and its findings were formally presented to former Managing Director, Mudassir Amray and the board, then chaired by Farouk Gumel, who were confronted with the institution’s grave financial condition and continuing regulatory infractions.

The claim that the CBN acted without evidence before dissolving the board is, on the record, simply not accurate.

The Legal Picture

The CBN acted under Section 34 of BOFIA 2020 and Section 52 of the CBN Act 2007 — broad discretionary executive powers that do not require a special examination as a condition precedent.

The Federal High Court’s characterisation of those powers as quasi-judicial is itself among the central questions now on appeal. Both the CBN and Union Bank have filed formal appeals. Union Bank’s own Notice of Appeal, filed the day after judgment on thirteen grounds and argued by Olaniwun Ajayi LP, challenges the ruling on several fronts: that the respondents may never have had locus standi to sue in the first place, under the rule in Foss v. Harbottle; that the application was filed nearly two years after the January 2024 events, well outside the prescribed three-month limitation window; and that the CBN-supervised recapitalisation exercise, mandated under Section 9 of BOFIA, cannot constitute evidence of bad faith. These are not technicalities.

They are substantive questions of law that the Court of Appeal must now determine.

The Human Stakes and the Real Question

Behind the legal arguments sit approximately 7.8 million depositors and around 6,450 employees across 281 branches. Union Bank’s own affidavit describes it as a systemically important institution in a precarious financial situation, continuing to rely on CBN forbearance for its existence — a frank admission that validates, rather than undermines the case for intervention.

Meanwhile, critics argue the dispute damages investor confidence. The wider evidence does not support that conclusion. By April 2026, thirty-three Nigerian banks had raised N4.65 trillion under the CBN’s recapitalisation framework — over ten times the 2004 to 2005 consolidation figure.

The Nigerian Exchange All-Share Index rose approximately 29 per cent in the first quarter of 2026 alone. The market has read the CBN’s resolve as stability, not recklessness. Conflating this case with a systemic confidence crisis runs the risk of misleading the very international investors the commentary claims to be protecting.

The structural vulnerability at the centre of this dispute originates not with the regulator but with an acquisition financed with borrowed funds, loaded onto the acquired institution’s balance sheet, and left unhedged against exchange-rate risk. When the CBN stepped in, it was doing what central banks everywhere are expected to do.

When Union Bank’s own legally constituted board subsequently filed its own appeal, it was signalling what a properly constituted governance structure recognises as being in the institution’s best interests. Nigeria’s appellate courts — not the court of commentary — are the appropriate arena for resolution.

Union Bank of Nigeria is a 109-year-old institution serving nearly eight million depositors. It is not being dismantled. It is being stabilised under active regulatory supervision, with operations intact and depositors protected. In the language of institutional governance, that is called stewardship.
The commentary that mistakes it for anything else does the institution, its depositors, and Nigeria’s financial governance narrative a disservice that will outlast the headlines.
*Bala Rabiu, writes from Kano.

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Vegetable oil policy in crisis as imports dominate- Producers lament

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World Heart Day: NHF warns against consumption of unwholesome vegetable oil

•Warns policy failure hurting local oil investors

By Cynthia Alo

Vegetable and edible oil producers have raised alarm over the continued dominance of imported brands   despite the retention of items in   the Federal Government’s prohibition list under the 2026 fiscal policy measures.

According to the National Chairman of the Vegetable/Edible Oil Producers Association of Nigeria (VEOPAN), Okey Ikoro, the local market is still dominated by more than 100 imported oil brands, warning this threatens investments and discourages backward integration in the sector.

Speaking recently in an interview on Arise TV   Ikoro disclosed that members of the association recently intercepted three trailers transporting smuggled vegetable oil through the Badagry axis.

Ikoro, while reviewing the effect of the 2026 fiscal policy measures on the vegetable oil sector of the Nigerian economy, attributed   this development to failure of government agencies to enforce the ban on foreign brands of vegetable and edible oil brands. The agencies he said include the Nigeria Customs Service, National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC), and the Standards Organisation of Nigeria,(SON).  

According to him, the initial ban failed by 85 percent after two years, even though it initially boosted investments as firms embarked on expansion projects following government protection of the industry.

He said: “The 2023 fiscal policy definitely placed vegetable oil under prohibition and a lot of milestones were gained because it was a long-time policy from 2023 to 2026. A lot of companies went into backward integration, huge companies like Okomu, Presco, PZ Wilmar , all of them went into major expansion because the policy gave protection to the industry.

“But two years later, entering 2024 and 2025, there was a total collapse of implementation on the side of the agencies that were supposed to monitor the fiscal policy, especially in the area of prohibition of items. We noticed that the markets were flooded with imported vegetable oil despite the fact that the item was under prohibition. If you go into the local market, you will see more than 100 brands of vegetable oil coming in from outside the country, in yellow jerry cans with funny labels. 

Nobody is monitoring. NAFDAC is not doing its job.

“This resulted in a lot of losses   and setbacks to the companies. Companies would have borrowed huge sums of money to put into their backward integration because oil palm is a long gestation investment. Before you can start getting returns, it takes a minimum of five years.

“These implementation problems do not give confidence to   investors to even come into the country, or for those of us that are locally investing, to continue to invest in this sector. The government should not only put policies in place; it should also monitor their implementation.

“Just a few days ago, members of the association arrested three long trailers coming in from Badagry, all carrying vegetable oil. NAFDAC came to the spot and saw that these are prohibited items. But our worry is,   where is Nigerian Customs on this?

“In all the markets, you see all sorts of brands coming in from all over Nigeria through Badagry and the northern borders, it was like a madhouse, actually, and it was like nobody is in charge of the borders anymore.”

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Banks, insurers, others record 8.5% growth in GDP to N1.93trn

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Breaking: Nigeria’s GDP growth rate slows to 3.8%

By Babajide Komolafe

Financial institutions including banks and insurance firms recorded a 8.5 per cent growth in real Gross Domestic Product, GDP to N1.9 trillion in the first quarter of 2026, Q1’26 from N1.78 trillion in Q1’25.

The National Bureau of Statistics, NBS disclosed this in its GDP report for Q1’26. The report showed that the   financial institutions sub-sector remained the dominant driver of activity, contributing N1.75 trillion in Q1 2026, up from N1.61 trillion in the corresponding period of 2025. This reflects an increase of about 8.4%, underscoring sustained expansion in banking operations, credit delivery, and financial intermediation.

The insurance sub-sector also recorded steady growth, rising to N180.95 billion in Q1 2026 from N164.58 billion in Q1 2025, representing an increase of approximately 9.9%. The performance signals gradual improvement in risk underwriting, premium generation, and broader market penetration.

The NBS in its report stated:   “The Finance and Insurance Sector consists of the two subsectors, Financial Institutions, and Insurance, in which the former accounted for 90.62% and the latter 9.38% of the sector, respectively in real terms in Q1 2026.  

“The sector grew at 46.91% in nominal terms (year-on-year), with the growth rate of Financial Institutions at 46.71% and 48.80% growth rate recorded for Insurance. The overall rate was higher than Q1 2025 by 25.89% points, and higher by 20.33% points than the preceding quarter.  

“The quarter-on quarter growth was 18.86%. The sector’s contribution to the nominal GDP was 3.83% in Q1 2026, higher than the 3.07% it represented a year previous, and higher than the contribution of 2.91% it made in the preceding quarter.  

“Growth in this sector in real terms totaled 8.54%, lower by 6.49% points from the rate recorded in the 2025 first quarter and higher by 0.24% points from the rate recorded in the preceding quarter.  

“Quarter-on-quarter, growth in real terms stood at 17.77%. The contribution of Finance and Insurance to real GDP totalled 3.76%, higher than the contribution of 3.60% recorded in the first quarter of 2025 by 0.16% points, and higher than 2.56% recorded in Q4 2025 by 1.20% points.”

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