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APC Primary: Can Tinubu repeat 10.99m votes in 2027 polls? 

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APC Primary: Can Tinubu repeat 10.99m votes in 2027 polls? 

By Clifford Ndujihe,  Politics Editor

Yesterday, President Bola Tinubu won the presidential primaries of the ruling All Progressives Congress, APC, in style.

In the party’s direct primaries requiring all registered members to participate, Tinubu amassed 10,999,162 votes while Mr Stanley Osifo, his lone challenger, trailed distantly with 16,503 votes.

The party currently has 12,643,316 registered members

If the president can get about 11m votes from registered APC members, his camp boasted last night that he will get more from over 100m expected to be registered as voters by the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, for the 2027 general polls.

In 2023, the APC claimed that it had over 41 million registered members. However, at the poll proper, Tinubu scored 8,794,753 votes, which means, excluding other Nigerians, more than 80 per cent of APC members did not vote for him. 

Looking at the figures, if APC had over 41 million members in 2023 but now has 12.6m members after recent waves of defections into it from opposition parties, it means those in charge have a lot of questions to answer.

In a chat with journalists recently, APC National Chairman, Professor Nentawe Yilwatda admitted that were glitches in the party’s online registration process in 2023 and now the matter had been addressed.

Tinubu’s presidential primaries victory,  dress rehearsal for 2027 — Yilwatda

With excitement, Yilwatda boasted that Tinubu would record a resounding victory on January 16, 2027 and retain his seat for another four years giving what transpired at the presidential primaries across the country.,

He dismissed criticisms trailing its nationwide primaries, describing the exercise, especially Saturday’s presidential primaries as a “dress rehearsal” for victory in the 2027 general elections.

According to Yilwatda, the massive turnout across the country foretells what Nigerians should expect at the polls, boasting that no rival party could match the ruling party’s strength.

“If you see the turnout on Saturday, the numbers ran into thousands. This is only a mock demonstration of what the general election will look like. No political party can showcase one-tenth of what we presented,” he said.

Yilwatda also dismissed viral videos alleging irregularities in vote counting, describing them as recycled and misattributed clips unrelated to APC activities.

“Most of those videos are unverified and not from our processes. You won’t see APC banners, flags or membership identification in them. Some are from entirely different events,” he added.

As it is, he continued, the APC had become the political platform of choice, with Nigerians across party lines scrambling to join.

“The APC is now the rallying point. The competition to belong is very high, and thousands are buying nomination forms. That shows growing acceptance nationwide,” he said.

Looking at the results of the primaries released by the chairman of the committee, Senator Anyim Pius Anyim, the president made massive inroads in South-East and South-South, where he performed poorly in 2023. He also got more support in the North-East 

In 2023, Tinubu got a miserly 127,605 votes from the five South-East states. At the presidential primaries, the figure sky-rocked to 1,377,960 with Governor Hope Uzodimma’s Imo State providing over 582,000(see table).

In the South-South, the president garnered 799,957 votes in 2023 compared to 1,539,126 votes he got at the primaries. And in the North-East, the figure rose from 1,185,458 in 2023 to 2,103,697.

Conversely, Tinubu’s support base in his native South-West appears to have plummeted. He got 1,648,451 votes at the primaries compared to the 2,279,407 votes he got in 2023. 

The pattern of support in North-West and North-Central does not appear strikingly different.

How Tinubu performed in APC 2026 presidential primaries

North-West

Kaduna — 618,914

Kano — 500,852

Katsina — 467,003

Kebbi — 292,972

Jigawa — 206,520

Sokoto — 301,000

Zamfara — 321,579

Sub-total— 2,708,840

North-East

Adamawa — 644,149

Bauchi — 156,541

Borno — 414,988

Gombe — 450,517

Taraba — 183,698

Yobe — 253,804

Sub-total 2,103,697

North-Central

Benue — 374,787

Kogi — 197,370

Kwara — 310,990

Nasarawa — 285,436

Niger — 175,487

Plateau — 241,720

FCT — 36,103

Sub-total— 1,621,893

South-West

Ekiti — 85,340

Lagos — 814,988

Ogun — 322,485

Ondo — 181,996

Osun — 100,888

Oyo — 142,754

Sub-total—1,648,451

South-East

Abia — 161,005

Anambra — 43,034

Ebonyi — 207,579

Enugu — 383,382

Imo — 582,960

Sub-total— 1,377,960

South-South

Akwa Ibom — 389,197

Bayelsa — 227,192

Cross River — 113,911

Delta — 407,646

Edo — 121,098

Rivers — 280,082

Sub-total — 1,539,126

Grand Total—

10,999,967 votes

How Tinubu fared in 2023 presidential election as declared by INEC

North-West

Jigawa — 421,390

Kaduna — 399,293

Kano — 517,341

Katsina — 482,283

Kebbi — 248,088

Sokoto — 285,444

Zamfara — 298,396

Sub total— 2,652,235

North-East

Adamawa — 182,881

Bauchi — 316,694

Borno — 252,282

Gombe — 146,977

Taraba — 135,165

Yobe — 151,459

Sub.total-1,185,458

North-Central

Benue — 310,468

Kogi — 240,751

Kwara — 263,572

Nasarawa — 172,922

Niger — 375,183

Plateau — 307,195

FCT, Abuja —90,902

Sub.total—1,670,091

South-West

Ekiti — 201,494

Lagos — 572,606 

Ogun — 341,554

Ondo — 369,924

Osun — 343,945

Oyo — 449,884

Sub. total— 2,279,407

South-South

Akwa Ibom — 160,620

Bayelsa — 42,572

Cross River — 130,520

Delta — 90,183

Edo — 144,471

Rivers — 231,591

Sub. total —799,957

South-East

Abia — 8,914 

Anambra — 5,111 

Ebonyi — 42,402 

Enugu — 4,772

Imo — 66,406

Sub. total — 127,605

Grand Total— 8,794,753

Hurdles before Tinubu

To replicate the outcome of the presidential primaries and turn it into a success in 2027, the APC may have a lot of work in the North-West and South-West.

Incidentally, both zones command the highest number of voters in the country.

It also has to contend with the opposition being mounted by former Anambra State Governor and 2023 Labour Party Presidential Candidate, Mr. Peter Obi. 

Obi, the only aspirant of the Nigeria Democratic Congress, NDC, is expected to pick former Kano State Governor, Senator Musa Kwankwaso, a move his supporters said would galvanize northern votes.

Apart from, the African Democratic Congress, ADC, will make a pick among former Vice President Atiku Abubakar; former Rivers State Governor Mr Rotimi Amaechi; and Economist, Mohammed Hayattu-Deen,  today.

The other potential opponents include former President Good luck Jonathan of the People’s Democratic Party,PDP; Prince Adewolu Adebayo of Social Democratic Party, SDP; Dr Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim of Accord;  Mr Donald Duke of People’s Redemption Party, PRP; Sandy On or(PDP); and Peter Agada(LP) among others.

Whether or not Tinubu will scale the hurdles is a question of time.

The post APC Primary: Can Tinubu repeat 10.99m votes in 2027 polls?  appeared first on Vanguard News.


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2027: Dumebi Kachikwu accepts ADC’s nomination as factional presidential candidate

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The 2023 presidential candidate of the African Democratic Congress, ADC, Dumebi Kachikwu, has emerged the party’s 2027 presidential candidate for the faction led by Alhaji Abdulkkadir Mohammed Bashir.

At a national convention held in Abuja on Sunday, the Electoral Committee Chairman and Benue State party chairman, Elias Adikwu, announced Kachikwu’s adoption, which was ratified by delegates.

Bashir, who was newly elected as the party’s national Chairman, presented Kachikwu with the party’s flag, a symbol of his mandate to deliver the party in the forthcoming election.

At the convention, alongside Bashir, other new members of the National Working Committee, NWC, were elected.

Speaking after his adoption, Kachikwu said, “Who is the common man? He is the average citizen, as contrasted with the socio-economic or sociocultural elites.

“The common man is a title most of us will bear at some point in our lives, and for some of their lives, majority of our population bear this affiliation, and it is because of them I stand before you today to say I accept your nomination to be the presidential candidate of the African Democratic Congress.I thank you. 

“The realities of our existence today in Nigeria are well known to us all, and so I will not rehash the many challenges we face as a nation, not only at war, but one plague motivated problems. I’m here today to tell you that even though our leaders have navigated us to the precipice of disaster, we can still reverse it, even though they scam us with their failed promises, yet there is hope for us.

“I’m very clear that I must be in the driver’s seat to make the changes needed in Aso Villa. I understand that mourning and complaining are not enough. It’s a time to sit on this table…”

DAILY POST reports that there are three factions of the African Democratic Congress.

The faction led by former Senate president, David Mark; the faction led by former Deputy National Chairman, Nafiu Bala Gombe and the now the one led by Bashir.




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‘I won’t betray trust reposed in me’ – Kwara PDP Guber candidate, Kale Kawu

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Engr Kale Kawu, Governorship candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party in Kwara State, on Sunday accepted the mandate to contest the 2027 general elections with a pledge not to betray the confidence and trust reposed in him.

Speaking after being declared formally as the consensus candidate of the party in Ilorin, Kawu, described his emergence as a collective victory for all the aspirants in the race.

“Your sacrifices, consultations, maturity and commitment to the survival and unity of our great party brought us to this defining moment 

“History will remember your patriotism, sportsmanship and loyalty to the PDP family,” he added.

“I, Engr. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu, accept this mandate with absolute humility and a full understanding of the enormous responsibility ahead.

“I pledge before Almighty Allah and before the good people of Kwara State that I shall not betray the trust and confidence reposed in me. By the grace of God, I will dedicate myself fully to the service of our people and the progress of our dear state.

“To our teeming supporters and citizens across the length and breadth of Kwara State, from Ilorin West to Moro, from Edu to Baruten, from Offa to Ifelodun, from Kaiama to Ekiti, from Asa to Patigi, we say clearly today: the PDP has heard your cries, understood your pains, and answered your call. And by the grace of God, the PDP is coming back.”

He asserted that the party is coming back not merely for politics or power, but for purposeful leadership and people-oriented governance. 

“We are coming back to restore hope, revive infrastructure, improve education, support our farmers, empower our youths and women, strengthen healthcare delivery, create economic opportunities, and return Kwara State to the path of security, growth, dignity and prosperity,” he said.

According to Kawu, “the struggle ahead is greater than what we have passed through. The task before us is enormous. Our people desire a government that listens, a government that cares, and a government that works for everybody irrespective of political affiliation, religion, or ethnicity”.

He made a passionate appeal to all party leaders, elders, executives, aspirants, supporters, and members across every ward and local government to close ranks and move forward as one united family.

Senator Duro Faseyi, head of the party’s monitoring team, who announced the results of the party primary election across the 16 local government areas of the state, said Engr Kale Kawu scored 98,998 votes to beat Ladi Hassan who got 2,125 votes.




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2027 election: ‘Wike an appointee, I have no business with him’ – FCT senatorial aspirant, Aisha Yesufu

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Activist and senatorial aspirant for the Federal Capital Territory, FCT, Aisha Yesufu, has rejected the notion that FCT Minister, Nyesom Wike would significantly influence her political aspirations, emphasizing that her primary goal is to obtain the people’s mandate rather than engage with political appointees.

Yesufu, previously affiliated with the African Democratic Congress, ADC, made these remarks during an interview on Sunday Politics.

She stated that her foremost objective is to secure the senatorial ticket of the Nigeria Democratic Congress, NDC, in preparation for the 2027 general elections.

She said, “There are some people who have said they are going to take over Abuja and all of that. We want to give people a viable option that they can be proud of and passionate about.

“I don’t have a Wike to contend with because that’s an appointee. I’m not in the business of appointments. I’m in the business of looking for the mandate of the people. Wike is an appointee; I have no business with appointees.”

The activist urged Abuja residents and members of the NDC to support her during the party primaries, stressing that public popularity alone would not guarantee victory without active participation from supporters.

“Yes, people may assume I already have it, but that is not enough. I need people to come out and vote during the primaries,” she added.

Yesufu indicated that she would commence engaging with other candidates in the race only after she has emerged as the party’s flagbearer.

She cited current FCT Senator Ireti Kingibe and former Senate Minority Leader Philip Aduda as individuals she would address following the securing of her ticket.

The activist also disclosed that she has finalized consultations and screening processes in preparation for the election, conveying her confidence that she would introduce “a breath of fresh air” to politics and maintain accountability to her constituents if elected.

Regarding the internal crisis affecting the African Democratic Congress, ADC, Yesufu characterized the situation as “heartbreaking” and detrimental to Nigeria’s democracy, emphasizing that robust political parties are crucial for national advancement.

The competition for the FCT Senatorial seat in the lead-up to the 2027 elections is developing around three primary contenders: incumbent Senator Kingibe, former Senator Philip Aduda, and Yesufu, should she secure her party’s nomination.

Kingibe obtained the ADC ticket following a decisive primary victory, while Aduda has been nominated as the APC candidate.

Nevertheless, there are ongoing concerns regarding the significant political influence of Wike in the senatorial district, particularly in light of his engagement in local politics and the recent FCT council elections.




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